La scuola delle quote

Qingdao West Coast FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Inizio: 2026-05-10 09:30 UTC

Finale: Qingdao West Coast FC 1–1 Wuhan Three Towns

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Casa)

Previsione 49.10%2.04quota equa
EV -1.79%
Vantaggio -0.896%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.30%49.23%48.95%52.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.881.902.0057.80%53.22%52.63%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Wuhan Three Towns (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.84%4.19quota equa
EV +4.91%
Vantaggio +1.12%
Kelly +1.44%
Crescita +0.071%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.92%23.76%23.97%26.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.873.804.4028.57%25.83%26.32%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.05%3.70quota equa
EV -2.61%
Vantaggio -0.725%
Kelly -1.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.13%27.01%27.08%28.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.60%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -13.09%E -7.39%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV +4.91%E +1.12%K +1.44%G +0.071%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 00:58
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -11.61%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV +3.24%E +0.749%K +0.974%G +0.032%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 00:58
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.57%EV -6.70%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.45%EV +2.05%E +0.479%K +0.625%G +0.013%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.99%EV -3.69%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 01:55
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -11.61%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV +0.143%E +0.034%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 20:45
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.98%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.89%EV -0.572%E -0.137%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.78%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 01:14
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 50.18%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -1.05%E -0.253%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 01:46
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -5.72%E -2.98%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.24%E -0.547%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 01:35
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -5.72%E -2.98%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.24%E -0.547%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 01:35
BetUS1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -5.72%E -2.98%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.24%E -0.547%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 01:35
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -10.14%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.24%E -0.547%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 01:49
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -3.43%E -0.848%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -7.48%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 01:44
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:19
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.32%EV -2.77%E -1.40%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.04%EV -5.10%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.65%EV -6.40%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 19:09
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.67%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 03:04
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 01:13
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 20:19
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 20:14
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 20:19
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 20:14
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -10.14%E -5.54%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -7.01%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 21:39
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -5.23%E -2.71%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -2.61%E -0.725%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 18:19
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -6.70%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 03:04
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -6.70%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -8.20%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 03:04
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:20
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -4.74%E -2.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 04:04
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -5.23%E -2.71%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 04:04
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -5.23%E -2.71%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 04:04
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -5.23%E -2.71%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 04:04
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -5.23%E -2.71%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 04:05
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -5.23%E -2.71%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 04:04
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.68%E -4.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.39%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 03:09
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.72%E -2.98%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 04:05
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.96%EV -5.72%E -2.98%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 04:04
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.70%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-06 04:04
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -15.05%E -8.70%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.84%E -6.28%K -9.42%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-09 20:45
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -6.70%E -3.53%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 18:19
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -8.67%E -4.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 03:04
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.35%EV -12.10%E -6.76%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.88%EV -11.78%E -3.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-10 03:04
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -12.97%E -3.55%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 04:04
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -12.97%E -3.55%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 04:04
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-09 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.16%E -4.95%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-09 19:09
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.61%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -14.16%E -3.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-09 18:09
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.61%E -6.45%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -15.36%E -4.33%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -9.37%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-10 03:04
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -1.79%E -0.896%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -16.55%E -4.73%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.02%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 23:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-10 01:45
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.09%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%1.6%2026-05-10 03:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%2.0%2026-05-10 03:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%2.0%2026-05-10 03:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%2.0%2026-05-10 03:09