مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Beijing FC

البداية: 2026-05-30 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 2–3 Beijing FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.84%3.04السعر العادل
EV -1.47%
الأفضلية -0.490%
Kelly -0.735%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.56%32.82%32.90%34.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.812.803.0038.46%35.59%35.71%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Beijing FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.75%2.58السعر العادل
EV +1.52%
الأفضلية +0.579%
Kelly +0.936%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.22%38.74%38.69%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.382.382.6247.62%42.06%42.02%38.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.41%3.52السعر العادل
EV -0.565%
الأفضلية -0.161%
Kelly -0.226%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.97%28.44%28.41%30.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.233.253.5033.33%30.99%30.77%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -7.38%E -2.62%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.22%EV +1.52%E +0.579%K +0.936%G +0.014%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -10.51%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 11:50
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -7.38%E -2.62%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.22%EV +1.52%E +0.579%K +0.936%G +0.014%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -10.51%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 11:50
Pinnacle2.97I 33.67%NM 32.39%EV -2.46%E -0.827%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.63%EV -3.52%E -1.41%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.98%EV -5.68%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 11:40
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.40%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.07%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 11:40
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.07%E -2.07%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 11:50
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.12%EV -10.01%E -3.65%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.31%EV -5.46%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.57%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 11:50
Marathon Bet2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39%EV -6.07%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.12%EV -5.85%E -2.41%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.50%EV -10.79%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 11:50
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.01%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -0.565%E -0.161%K -0.226%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:30
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -7.01%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 11:50
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.40%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -7.01%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 11:10
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.01%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 11:50
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -7.01%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 11:10
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.01%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -3.41%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 11:30
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.33%EV -5.74%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67%EV -7.01%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 11:30
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.01%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 11:20
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.01%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 11:19
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.01%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 11:40
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.01%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 11:40
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -7.01%E -2.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -14.77%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 11:50
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 11:30
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 11:30
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 11:30
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 11:30
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -6.40%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -8.70%E -3.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.80%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 11:10
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -8.70%E -3.13%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.80%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 11:10
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 11:29
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -13.62%E -5.18%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -13.62%E -5.18%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -7.78%E -3.27%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 11:50
GTbets2.91I 34.36%NM 32.37%EV -4.43%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.92%EV -8.56%E -3.63%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.41%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 11:09
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.35%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.86%EV -8.56%E -3.63%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:10
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:30
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.40%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 11:30
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.40%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -8.95%E -3.81%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.06%EV -9.72%E -4.17%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -10.88%E -4.73%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -4.83%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 11:09
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -10.88%E -4.73%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -10.51%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -10.88%E -4.73%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -10.51%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-30 11:30
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.88%E -4.73%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 11:50
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.20%EV -13.95%E -5.32%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -10.88%E -4.73%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.99%EV -14.77%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-30 11:50
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -14.61%E -5.62%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -12.82%E -5.70%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -7.67%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-30 11:09
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -1.47%E -0.490%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -14.76%E -6.71%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.25%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -18.63%E -8.87%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -14.77%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-30 11:36
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-05-30 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-05-30 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-05-30 11:50
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-05-30 11:30
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-30 11:50