L’École des cotes

Beijing FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-27 12:00 UTC

Score final : Beijing FC 1–0 Wuhan Three Towns

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Beijing FC (Local)

Prévision 72.60%1.38cote équitable
EV -0.540%
Avantage -0.394%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.65%72.61%72.43%75.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.281.291.3781.97%78.07%77.52%72.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wuhan Three Towns (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.32%8.83cote équitable
EV +14.38%
Avantage +1.42%
Kelly +1.58%
Croissance +0.227%

avec la cote maximale 10.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.40%11.31%11.51%13.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.988.0010.1015.38%12.53%12.50%9.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 16.08%6.22cote équitable
EV +0.321%
Avantage +0.051%
Kelly +0.061%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.04%16.07%16.06%18.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.855.625.506.2420.62%17.80%18.18%16.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 75.38%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.79%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.40%EV +14.38%E +1.42%K +1.58%G +0.227%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.22%EV +0.321%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 11:49
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.07%E -5.53%K -25.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +1.92%E +0.213%K +0.240%G +0.005%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -3.54%E -0.590%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 11:50
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -11.43%E -9.37%K -51.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV +1.92%E +0.213%K +0.240%G +0.005%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-27 11:49
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.51%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.79%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.52%EV -0.346%E -0.039%K -0.044%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -6.75%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 11:49
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -7.07%E -5.53%K -25.26%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.93%EV -2.61%E -0.304%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.54%E -0.590%K -0.708%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 11:49
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 73.41%EV -7.07%E -5.53%K -25.26%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.93%EV -2.61%E -0.304%K -0.344%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.54%E -0.590%K -0.708%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 11:50
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -9.25%E -7.40%K -37.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -3.74%E -0.440%K -0.499%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -3.54%E -0.590%K -0.708%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 11:50
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -9.98%E -8.05%K -41.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -3.74%E -0.440%K -0.499%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -3.54%E -0.590%K -0.708%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 11:50
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -9.25%E -7.40%K -37.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.74%E -0.440%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -7.56%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-27 11:50
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.25%E -7.40%K -37.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -3.74%E -0.440%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-27 11:40
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.43%E -9.37%K -51.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -3.74%E -0.440%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-27 11:49
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.27%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -6.57%E -0.797%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -7.56%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 11:49
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.54%E -0.590%K -0.708%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 11:48
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.56%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 11:49
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.56%E -1.31%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 11:50
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 11:49
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 11:49
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 11:49
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 11:49
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 06:10
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 06:10
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 06:19
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 06:09
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 06:10
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 06:09
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 71.26%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -13.18%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 13:29
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.26%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -13.18%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 06:10
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -8.36%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:39
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -7.07%E -5.53%K -25.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -9.41%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 11:49
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.82%EV -0.540%E -0.394%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.98I 12.53%NM 12.16%EV -9.63%E -1.21%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.02%EV -8.36%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-27 11:39
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -5.62%E -4.32%K -18.74%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.68%EV -12.24%E -1.58%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -22.03%E -4.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-27 11:50
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -7.07%E -5.53%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.95%EV -12.80%E -1.66%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -8.36%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-27 11:49
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 71.90%EV -7.07%E -5.53%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.95%EV -12.80%E -1.66%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -8.36%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-27 11:49
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.58%EV -7.07%E -5.53%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.06%EV -13.94%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -9.97%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-27 11:49
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -15.07%E -2.01%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 11:49
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -15.07%E -2.01%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-27 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.88%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -15.07%E -2.01%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -13.18%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-22 06:09
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.99%EV -8.53%E -6.77%K -32.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -15.07%E -2.01%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.91%EV -8.36%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 11:49
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -15.07%E -2.01%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.14%EV -15.60%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-22 06:10
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 70.86%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -15.07%E -2.01%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.14%EV -15.60%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-22 06:10
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -11.43%E -9.37%K -51.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -15.07%E -2.01%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-27 11:49
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.42%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.54%EV -15.63%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.04%EV -0.162%E -0.026%K -0.031%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 11:49
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.78%EV -7.80%E -6.14%K -28.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -20.73%E -2.96%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -3.54%E -0.590%K -0.708%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-27 11:50
Neds1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -20.73%E -2.96%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -15.60%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.35%E -4.92%K -21.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -20.73%E -2.96%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -15.60%E -2.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-27 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.44%EV -9.25%E -7.40%K -37.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -26.39%E -4.06%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -11.58%E -2.10%K -2.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-27 11:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.04%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-06-27 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-06-27 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-06-27 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-06-27 11:49
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%2.9%2026-06-27 11:50