La escuela de los momios

Universidad de Chile v Deportes Limache

Inicio: 2026-02-22 23:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Universidad de Chile (Local)

Predicción 62.00%1.61momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -4.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.88%61.99%62.04%64.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.471.481.5775.76%67.82%67.57%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Deportes Limache (Visitante)

Predicción 16.33%6.12momio equitativo
EV +4.53%
Ventaja +0.707%
Kelly +0.838%
Crecimiento +0.038%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.27%16.25%16.31%18.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.675.636.4020.00%17.63%17.78%15.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.67%4.61momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.307%
Kelly -0.394%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.80%21.77%21.66%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.154.204.5528.57%24.07%23.81%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.28%EV -10.10%E -6.97%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV +4.53%E +0.707%K +0.838%G +0.038%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 22:59
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -10.72%E -7.45%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV +4.53%E +0.707%K +0.838%G +0.038%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 22:55
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -10.72%E -7.45%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV +4.53%E +0.707%K +0.838%G +0.038%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -10.72%E -7.45%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV +4.53%E +0.707%K +0.838%G +0.038%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 22:55
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -10.72%E -7.45%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV +4.53%E +0.707%K +0.838%G +0.038%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 23:00
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -10.72%E -7.45%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV +4.53%E +0.707%K +0.838%G +0.038%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 22:55
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -8.24%E -5.57%K -17.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV +2.08%E +0.332%K +0.396%G +0.008%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -7.90%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -10.72%E -7.45%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV +2.08%E +0.332%K +0.396%G +0.008%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.20%EV -11.96%E -8.43%K -28.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV +2.08%E +0.332%K +0.396%G +0.008%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -13.32%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.46%EV -13.20%E -9.43%K -33.01%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.56%EV +1.26%E +0.203%K +0.242%G +0.003%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -6.82%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 22:05
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.00%E -4.67%K -14.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.01%E -0.334%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 19:48
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.24%E -5.57%K -17.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -2.01%E -0.334%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.82%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 22:49
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.72%E -7.45%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -2.01%E -0.334%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 22:50
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -10.10%E -6.97%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -2.01%E -0.334%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -13.32%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-22 22:50
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.30%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 16.04%EV -2.33%E -0.390%K -0.468%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.66%EV -4.00%E -0.902%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 23:25
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.03%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.21%EV -3.48%E -0.588%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.76%EV -8.77%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 23:20
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -7.62%E -5.12%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -3.64%E -0.617%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.90%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 23:05
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -7.62%E -5.12%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -3.64%E -0.617%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.90%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 23:04
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.26%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -1.40%E -0.307%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 19:50
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.26%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.07%EV -1.40%E -0.307%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 19:50
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.27%EV -6.39%E -4.23%K -12.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -4.65%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 23:20
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 61.64%EV -5.15%E -3.36%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.43%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.82%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 23:20
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.19%EV -7.62%E -5.12%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.26%EV -6.91%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -6.82%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 22:45
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.62%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV -7.72%E -1.37%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -2.48%E -0.551%K -0.709%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 23:20
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.00%E -4.67%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.54%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 23:25
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.00%E -4.67%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -8.54%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 23:25
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.24%E -5.57%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.35%EV -8.54%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 22:35
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.15%E -3.36%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.82%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 23:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.00%E -4.67%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.65%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 23:20
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.00%E -4.67%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 23:04
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.00%E -4.67%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.32%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 22:00
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.24%E -5.57%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 22:45
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.72%E -7.45%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.32%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-22 22:50
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.72%E -7.45%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.32%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-22 22:50
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 63.00%EV -18.16%E -13.76%K -56.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.12%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.88%EV -17.65%E -4.64%K -6.30%G +0.000%20.3%2026-02-22 22:50
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.25%EV -8.86%E -6.03%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -11.80%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -4.65%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 22:35
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.78%EV -12.58%E -8.93%K -30.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.44%EV -13.44%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -13.32%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-22 23:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.61%EV -12.58%E -8.93%K -30.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.39%EV -13.44%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.99%EV -14.40%E -3.65%K -4.88%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-22 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.38%EV -11.34%E -7.93%K -26.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -16.70%E -3.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 22:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -5.15%E -3.36%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -15.48%E -3.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-22 23:25
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -5.15%E -3.36%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -15.48%E -3.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-22 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -5.15%E -3.36%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -15.48%E -3.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-22 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.24%E -5.57%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 23:19
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.24%E -5.57%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 23:20
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.24%E -5.57%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -8.24%E -5.57%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-22 23:20
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.72%E -7.45%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -13.32%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-22 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 59.52%EV -13.20%E -9.43%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.67%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.81%EV -24.15%E -6.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%20.0%2026-02-22 21:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-02-22 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-02-22 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-02-22 22:15
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.11%2.8%2026-02-22 23:25