L’École des cotes

Universidad Católica (CHI) v Universidad de Concepción

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-14 21:30 UTC

Score final : Universidad Católica (CHI) 5–1 Universidad de Concepción

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Prévision 64.17%1.56cote équitable
EV -0.536%
Avantage -0.346%
Kelly -0.975%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.42%64.11%64.20%66.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.441.441.5575.19%69.33%69.44%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Universidad de Concepción (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.90%6.71cote équitable
EV +7.87%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.099%

avec la cote maximale 7.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.92%14.78%14.86%16.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.176.007.2418.18%16.20%16.67%13.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.93%4.78cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -0.436%
Kelly -0.555%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.10%21.10%20.94%23.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.274.224.6827.78%23.40%23.67%21.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.31%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.06%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.26%EV +7.87%E +1.09%K +1.26%G +0.099%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.43%EV -6.23%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 21:20
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.92%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +4.29%E +0.613%K +0.715%G +0.031%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -5.81%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 21:10
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -8.88%E -6.25%K -21.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +4.29%E +0.613%K +0.715%G +0.031%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.81%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 21:00
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -10.16%E -7.26%K -25.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +4.29%E +0.613%K +0.715%G +0.031%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.81%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 21:10
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -13.37%E -9.90%K -38.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV +4.29%E +0.613%K +0.715%G +0.031%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -5.81%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-14 21:20
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.96%EV -6.31%E -4.32%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%EV +2.80%E +0.406%K +0.475%G +0.013%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -13.13%E -3.16%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 21:10
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.07%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.49%EV -1.67%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.44%EV -2.04%E -0.436%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 21:21
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -8.24%E -5.76%K -19.16%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.67%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.72%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -8.24%E -5.76%K -19.16%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.67%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.72%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 21:20
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.80%EV -8.24%E -5.76%K -19.16%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.15%EV -2.41%E -0.369%K -0.435%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -7.90%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 21:20
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.88%E -6.25%K -21.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.16%E -0.486%K -0.574%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.81%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 21:10
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -10.16%E -7.26%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -3.16%E -0.486%K -0.574%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -7.90%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-14 21:00
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.55%EV -8.88%E -6.25%K -21.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -3.16%E -0.486%K -0.574%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -16.27%E -4.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-14 21:10
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -12.73%E -9.36%K -35.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -3.16%E -0.486%K -0.574%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -9.37%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-14 21:00
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 63.23%EV -3.74%E -2.50%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.61%EV -3.31%E -0.510%K -0.603%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.16%EV -10.41%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 21:00
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.04%EV -6.95%E -4.80%K -15.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -6.88%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.90%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-14 21:00
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.57%EV -6.95%E -4.80%K -15.45%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.88%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.04%E -2.60%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 19:10
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -10.16%E -7.26%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -6.88%E -1.10%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-14 21:00
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.28%EV -8.24%E -5.76%K -19.16%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -7.63%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -7.90%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 21:10
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.61%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.72%E -0.808%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 20:50
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -10.61%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -9.99%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-14 20:50
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -4.39%E -2.94%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -10.61%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -14.18%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -4.39%E -2.94%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -10.61%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -14.18%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 20:50
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -4.39%E -2.94%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -10.61%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -14.18%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 20:50
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -4.39%E -2.94%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -10.61%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -14.18%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 20:50
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -4.39%E -2.94%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -10.61%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -14.18%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 20:50
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -10.61%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -14.18%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 20:50
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -7.60%E -5.27%K -17.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.61%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -7.90%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 21:19
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -5.67%E -3.86%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -10.61%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -16.27%E -4.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-14 20:50
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.60%E -5.27%K -17.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.61%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -16.27%E -4.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-14 16:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.16%E -7.26%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -10.61%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -9.37%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-14 20:49
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -0.536%E -0.346%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -12.10%E -2.05%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -17.32%E -4.39%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.26%EV -8.88%E -6.25%K -21.14%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.47%EV -12.10%E -2.05%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -5.81%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 21:11
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.02%EV -6.95%E -4.80%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.50%EV -13.59%E -2.34%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.27%E -4.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-14 20:50
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.03%E -3.40%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -14.33%E -2.49%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.81%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 14:00
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -6.95%E -4.80%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -14.33%E -2.49%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-14 19:10
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.60%E -5.27%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.33%E -2.49%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-14 21:00
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.60%E -5.27%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.33%E -2.49%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-14 21:00
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.60%E -5.27%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.33%E -2.49%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-14 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.60%E -5.27%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.33%E -2.49%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-14 21:00
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.60%E -5.27%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.33%E -2.49%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-14 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.60%E -5.27%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.33%E -2.49%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-14 21:00
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.60%E -5.27%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -14.33%E -2.49%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-14 20:50
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.80%EV -11.45%E -8.29%K -30.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -16.57%E -2.96%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -9.99%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-14 21:10
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.16%E -7.26%K -25.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -18.06%E -3.28%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -12.09%E -2.88%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-14 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 62.06%EV -14.65%E -11.02%K -44.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.01%EV -18.06%E -3.28%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.93%EV -24.65%E -6.85%K -9.48%G +0.000%21.1%2026-06-14 21:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-06-14 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-06-14 21:20
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.25%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-06-14 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.03%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%0.8%2026-06-14 21:20
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.61%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%1.7%2026-06-14 21:21
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.02%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.59%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.39%3.0%2026-06-14 21:01