La escuela de los momios

Universidad Católica (CHI) v Coquimbo Unido

Inicio: 2026-02-21 23:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Local)

Predicción 46.09%2.17momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -3.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.57%46.18%45.92%48.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.992.002.0954.05%50.22%50.00%47.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Coquimbo Unido (Visitante)

Predicción 24.15%4.14momio equitativo
EV +5.77%
Ventaja +1.32%
Kelly +1.71%
Crecimiento +0.098%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.96%24.02%24.30%25.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.713.704.3830.77%26.92%27.03%22.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.76%3.36momio equitativo
EV +0.584%
Ventaja +0.173%
Kelly +0.245%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.44%29.79%29.78%31.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.063.053.3837.04%32.67%32.79%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.61%EV -6.89%E -3.41%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.96%EV +5.77%E +1.32%K +1.71%G +0.098%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.43%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 23:20
Coolbet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.69%EV -3.66%E -1.75%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +0.213%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -9.24%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 22:25
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.11%EV -9.20%E -4.67%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.36%EV +0.213%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.53%EV -9.53%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 23:15
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.03%EV -7.35%E -3.66%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -0.994%E -0.243%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.91%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 23:15
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.03%EV -7.35%E -3.66%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -0.994%E -0.243%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.91%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 23:15
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.83%EV -14.73%E -7.96%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -0.994%E -0.243%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 23:20
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.72%EV -6.89%E -3.41%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.42%EV -2.68%E -0.666%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.86%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 23:25
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%EV -6.89%E -3.41%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.97%EV -3.17%E -0.790%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.44%EV +0.584%E +0.173%K +0.245%G +0.001%4.0%2026-02-21 23:25
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -5.51%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -3.41%E -0.852%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 23:15
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -7.81%E -3.91%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 23:25
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -10.12%E -5.19%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 23:19
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.81%E -3.91%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -4.77%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 23:15
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.81%E -3.91%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 23:25
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -11.96%E -6.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 23:15
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.89%E -3.41%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.45%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 23:15
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.78%EV -7.35%E -3.66%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -9.45%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 23:15
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.96%E -6.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.45%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 23:24
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.96%E -6.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.45%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.96%E -6.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.45%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 23:25
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.51%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.65%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 05:09
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.51%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.65%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 23:15
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.51%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.65%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -9.24%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 23:22
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -7.81%E -3.91%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.65%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 23:15
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.12%E -5.19%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.65%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -9.24%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-21 23:15
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -5.97%E -2.93%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -5.97%E -2.93%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -5.97%E -2.93%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -5.97%E -2.93%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -5.97%E -2.93%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -5.97%E -2.93%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 05:35
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.51%E -2.69%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 23:15
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -8.73%E -4.41%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 23:15
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.81%E -3.91%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 05:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.81%E -3.91%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 23:05
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.98%EV -6.89%E -3.41%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -9.24%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -7.81%E -3.91%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.28%E -4.02%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -9.24%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.15%EV -13.34%E -7.10%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.44%EV -14.28%E -4.02%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.41%EV -12.21%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-21 23:20
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.81%E -3.91%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.48%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 20:30
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.81%E -3.91%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.48%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 05:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.81%E -3.91%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.48%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.81%E -3.91%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.48%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 23:15
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.81%E -3.91%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.48%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 23:15
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -7.81%E -3.91%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.48%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -11.50%E -5.99%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -16.69%E -4.84%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -9.24%E -3.03%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 23:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -8.73%E -4.41%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -17.90%E -5.26%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -12.21%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-21 11:34
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.02%EV -14.73%E -7.96%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -20.31%E -6.16%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.74%EV -16.68%E -5.96%K -9.26%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-21 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.57%EV -11.96%E -6.26%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.61%EV -21.52%E -6.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.82%EV -19.65%E -7.28%K -11.56%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-21 05:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-02-21 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-02-21 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.09%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%1.1%2026-02-21 23:15
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.46%2.6%2026-02-21 23:20