La escuela de los momios

O'Higgins v Huachipato

Inicio: 2026-04-11 00:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

O'Higgins (Local)

Predicción 48.92%2.04momio equitativo
EV -0.194%
Ventaja -0.095%
Kelly -0.187%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.08%48.90%48.73%51.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.891.882.0457.80%52.81%53.19%49.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Huachipato (Visitante)

Predicción 23.99%4.17momio equitativo
EV +1.26%
Ventaja +0.297%
Kelly +0.390%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.98%24.04%24.11%27.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.743.804.2229.85%26.72%26.32%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.08%3.69momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -0.851%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.08%27.07%27.16%28.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.353.353.5834.72%29.85%29.85%27.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.48%EV -7.04%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.73%EV +1.26%E +0.297%K +0.390%G +0.005%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -3.05%E -0.851%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:55
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.32%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.83%EV +1.02%E +0.241%K +0.316%G +0.003%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.85%EV -3.05%E -0.851%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 23:35
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.05%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV +0.775%E +0.185%K +0.242%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 23:20
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.62%E -0.396%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 23:35
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -14.38%E -8.22%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -1.62%E -0.396%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-10 23:40
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.02%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:55
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -4.02%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 23:35
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 47.98%EV -2.64%E -1.33%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.11%EV -4.98%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.92%EV -7.38%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 23:40
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.22%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 23:35
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -5.22%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 23:35
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.26%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.50%EV -5.46%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 23:50
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.04%E -3.71%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 23:38
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -8.51%E -4.55%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 23:55
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.62%EV -10.47%E -5.72%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -6.42%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:49
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 23:35
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 23:40
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 48.51%EV -7.53%E -3.99%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 23:40
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 48.51%EV -7.53%E -3.99%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 23:35
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 48.51%EV -7.53%E -3.99%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 23:35
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -13.34%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 23:55
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -13.34%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 23:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -13.34%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 23:55
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-10 23:35
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.32%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.82%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-10 23:35
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.47%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 23:34
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-10 23:34
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 23:35
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -11.94%E -6.63%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -10.02%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-10 23:34
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.22%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 23:55
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.22%E -3.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 23:35
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.02%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-10 23:40
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-10 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-10 23:40
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.62%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-10 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.80%EV -12.91%E -7.26%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%EV -14.82%E -4.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-10 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 47.73%EV -15.36%E -8.88%K -21.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.59%EV -16.02%E -4.58%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.67%EV -22.01%E -7.64%K -11.70%G +0.000%21.1%2026-04-10 23:35
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -9.98%E -5.42%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -17.22%E -4.99%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-10 23:35
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -0.194%E -0.095%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -18.42%E -5.42%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 23:30
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -0.194%E -0.095%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -18.42%E -5.42%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 23:30
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -0.194%E -0.095%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -18.42%E -5.42%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 23:30
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -0.194%E -0.095%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -18.42%E -5.42%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -0.194%E -0.095%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -18.42%E -5.42%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 23:30
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -0.194%E -0.095%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -18.42%E -5.42%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 23:30
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -1.17%E -0.581%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -19.62%E -5.86%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 23:30
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -2.15%E -1.08%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -19.62%E -5.86%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 23:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-04-10 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-04-10 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-04-10 23:50
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-10 23:55
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 49.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.78%3.7%2026-04-10 23:55