La escuela de los momios

O'Higgins v Colo Colo

Inicio: 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

O'Higgins (Local)

Predicción 35.52%2.82momio equitativo
EV +6.55%
Ventaja +2.18%
Kelly +3.28%
Crecimiento +0.215%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.09%35.29%35.58%36.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.632.603.0043.48%38.01%38.46%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Colo Colo (Visitante)

Predicción 36.04%2.77momio equitativo
EV +0.919%
Ventaja +0.328%
Kelly +0.511%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.15%36.28%35.90%43.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.492.502.8050.00%40.15%40.00%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.44%3.52momio equitativo
EV -0.458%
Ventaja -0.131%
Kelly -0.183%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.27%28.43%28.52%30.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.203.203.5035.71%31.25%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Parions Sport (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV +6.55%E +2.18%K +3.28%G +0.215%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -27.91%E -13.96%K -27.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-21 20:20
Pinnacle2.96I 33.78%NM 32.56%EV +5.13%E +1.73%K +2.62%G +0.134%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -9.17%E -3.64%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 20:50
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV +1.22%E +0.429%K +0.661%G +0.008%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.78%EV -10.61%E -4.28%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -0.458%E -0.131%K -0.183%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 20:55
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV +1.22%E +0.429%K +0.661%G +0.008%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -15.30%E -6.51%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 20:45
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV +1.22%E +0.429%K +0.661%G +0.008%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -15.30%E -6.51%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV +1.22%E +0.429%K +0.661%G +0.008%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -15.30%E -6.51%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 20:45
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV +1.22%E +0.429%K +0.661%G +0.008%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -15.30%E -6.51%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 20:45
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV +1.22%E +0.429%K +0.661%G +0.008%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -15.30%E -6.51%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 20:45
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV +1.22%E +0.429%K +0.661%G +0.008%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -15.30%E -6.51%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 20:45
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -0.553%E -0.198%K -0.307%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -13.50%E -5.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 20:24
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -0.553%E -0.198%K -0.307%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.06%EV -16.02%E -6.88%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 20:45
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -0.553%E -0.198%K -0.307%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -17.10%E -7.44%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 20:45
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -4.49%E -1.69%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV -3.30%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 20:55
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -4.49%E -1.69%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV -3.30%E -0.971%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 20:55
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.82%E -1.80%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -9.17%E -3.64%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 20:55
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.82%E -1.80%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -9.17%E -3.64%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 20:55
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59%NM 34.86%EV -5.53%E -2.08%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.51%EV -8.45%E -3.33%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -7.85%E -2.42%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 20:55
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.29%E -2.42%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 20:40
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -15.30%E -6.51%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-21 20:55
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -5.57%E -2.13%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 20:54
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -13.50%E -5.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 20:55
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -13.50%E -5.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 20:55
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -13.50%E -5.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 20:55
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.97%EV -7.66%E -2.94%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.33%EV +0.919%E +0.328%K +0.511%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 20:45
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.66%E -2.94%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.29%E -2.42%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.72%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 20:55
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.66%E -2.94%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -6.29%E -2.42%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 20:45
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.66%E -2.94%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.09%E -3.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 20:55
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -7.66%E -2.94%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -8.09%E -3.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 20:55
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.66%E -2.94%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.70%E -4.77%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 20:55
GTbets2.59I 38.61%NM 36.39%EV -8.01%E -3.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.04%EV -3.05%E -1.13%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 20:55
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.43%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -2.68%E -0.994%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 20:50
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.43%E -3.70%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -6.29%E -2.42%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 20:50
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.09%E -3.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 20:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.29%E -2.42%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 20:55
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.29%E -2.42%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 20:45
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -5.57%E -2.13%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 20:50
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.89%E -3.96%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.89%E -3.96%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.89%E -3.96%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 20:45
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.89%E -3.96%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 20:44
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.21%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -13.50%E -5.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 20:55
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -12.98%E -5.30%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -5.57%E -2.13%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -11.83%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 20:50
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -12.98%E -5.30%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -6.29%E -2.42%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -14.68%E -4.89%K -7.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-21 20:50
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -14.76%E -6.15%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -11.70%E -4.77%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-21 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.00%EV -14.76%E -6.15%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.00%EV -13.50%E -5.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -20.37%E -7.27%K -11.31%G +0.000%19.0%2026-02-21 20:50
Unibet (FR)2.36I 42.37%NM 36.85%EV -16.18%E -6.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 34.92%EV -10.25%E -4.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.23%EV -12.40%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-21 20:50
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.16%EV -18.31%E -7.96%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.66%EV -13.50%E -5.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.18%EV -18.94%E -6.65%K -10.24%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-21 20:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-02-21 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-02-21 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.5%2026-02-21 20:55
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.77%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.21%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%5.0%2026-02-21 20:55