L’École des cotes

O'Higgins v Audax Italiano

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

O'Higgins (Local)

Prévision 49.32%2.03cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.681%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.81%49.27%49.18%51.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.881.872.0057.47%53.06%53.48%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Audax Italiano (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.98%4.35cote équitable
EV +1.36%
Avantage +0.307%
Kelly +0.397%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.01%22.99%23.10%25.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.923.854.4128.57%25.51%25.97%22.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.70%3.61cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.392%
Kelly -0.545%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.80%27.75%27.72%29.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.273.253.5634.72%30.60%30.77%28.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.33%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.80%EV +1.36%E +0.307%K +0.397%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 22:50
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.97%EV -5.31%E -2.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV +1.13%E +0.256%K +0.331%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.97%EV -5.31%E -2.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%EV +1.13%E +0.256%K +0.331%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 22:35
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.51%EV -6.29%E -3.31%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06%EV -0.024%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -3.06%E -0.874%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 22:44
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.62%EV -13.69%E -7.82%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -1.17%E -0.273%K -0.355%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 22:55
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -8.76%E -4.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.47%E -0.826%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 22:55
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.47%E -0.826%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 22:40
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.03%EV -5.31%E -2.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.98%EV -3.93%E -0.940%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.98%EV -1.40%E -0.392%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 22:55
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.62%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 22:35
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.62%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 22:35
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -8.27%E -4.44%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -4.62%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 22:54
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -5.77%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 22:30
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.64%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.77%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 22:54
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%EV -8.27%E -4.44%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.77%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 22:55
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.55%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -5.77%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 22:40
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 48.49%EV -3.33%E -1.70%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.64%EV -7.61%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.87%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 22:40
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 22:44
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 22:55
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -8.07%E -2.02%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-03 22:55
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.02%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -9.22%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 22:55
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.77%E -4.16%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.37%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 22:40
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -10.37%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 22:42
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -10.37%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-03 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.53%EV -9.25%E -5.03%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -11.52%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 22:55
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.17%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -11.52%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 22:35
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -5.80%E -3.04%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.66%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 22:30
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -7.28%E -3.87%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -12.66%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 22:49
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.76%E -4.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -12.66%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.60%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 22:40
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.76%E -4.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.66%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-03 22:49
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.76%E -4.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.66%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-03 22:49
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -8.76%E -4.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.66%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-03 22:50
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 49.96%EV -14.18%E -8.15%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -12.66%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-03 22:55
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.76%E -4.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -13.81%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-03 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.76%E -4.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -13.81%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-03 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.76%E -4.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -13.81%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-03 22:45
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -8.76%E -4.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -13.81%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-03 22:45
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -13.81%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -11.37%E -3.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-03 22:35
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -1.36%E -0.681%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -16.11%E -4.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 22:25
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -1.36%E -0.681%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -16.11%E -4.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 22:20
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -1.36%E -0.681%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -16.11%E -4.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -1.36%E -0.681%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -16.11%E -4.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 22:20
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -1.36%E -0.681%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -16.11%E -4.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 22:20
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -1.36%E -0.681%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -16.11%E -4.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 22:25
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.85%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -16.11%E -4.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -9.98%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-03 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -17.26%E -4.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -12.75%E -4.05%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 22:20
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.94%EV -3.33%E -1.70%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -17.26%E -4.79%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -14.14%E -4.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.74%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.04%EV -19.56%E -5.59%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.22%EV -20.23%E -7.02%K -10.76%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-03 22:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-04-03 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-04-03 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-04-03 22:50
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-04-03 22:50
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 49.92%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%3.3%2026-04-03 22:55