Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ñublense v Everton de Viña del Mar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 15:29 UTC

Score final : Ñublense 1–3 Everton de Viña del Mar

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ñublense (Local)

Prévision 33.49%2.99cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -0.759%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.08%33.33%33.52%34.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.752.752.9238.17%36.39%36.36%34.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Everton de Viña del Mar (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.68%2.59cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -0.691%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.01%38.68%38.62%39.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.382.382.5444.44%42.10%42.02%39.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.83%3.59cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.416%
Kelly -0.579%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.14%28.00%27.86%30.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.263.253.5433.90%30.64%30.77%28.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ñublense (Local) : 33.49% ; Everton de Viña del Mar (Visiteur) : 38.68% ; Match nul : 27.83%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.59. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.54, pour une espérance de -1.47% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.62%EV -2.22%E -0.759%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.53%EV -6.78%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.81%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 15:00
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.14%EV -2.89%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.83%EV -1.75%E -0.691%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.03%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 15:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -2.89%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -9.10%E -3.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -17.89%E -6.07%K -9.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 15:20
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -9.10%E -3.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 14:59
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.14%EV -5.57%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.66%EV -3.69%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.20%EV -1.47%E -0.416%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 15:25
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 15:00
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 15:04
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 15:04
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -9.10%E -3.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 15:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 15:05
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -9.10%E -3.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -6.91%E -2.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.62%E -2.30%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -6.91%E -2.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.62%E -2.30%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 15:15
BetUS🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -6.91%E -2.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.62%E -2.30%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 15:15
BetAnything🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -6.91%E -2.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.62%E -2.30%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 15:15
GTbets🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.16%EV -7.24%E -2.61%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.00%EV -3.69%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 14:51
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-12 15:15
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 14:55
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -3.30%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 14:55
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.40%E -2.64%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 15:20
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.40%E -2.64%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 15:20
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.22%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.23%EV -7.56%E -3.16%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -11.04%E -4.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.76%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 15:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -9.10%E -3.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 15:05
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -11.04%E -4.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 15:00
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.97%E -5.76%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.97%E -5.76%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.97%E -5.76%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 15:00
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -12.97%E -5.76%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.95%EV -8.58%E -3.14%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.30%EV -6.40%E -2.64%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.04%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.10%E -3.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 14:51
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.10%E -3.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 15:20
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.04%E -4.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 15:15
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -9.10%E -3.87%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 15:04
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.04%E -4.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-12 15:15
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.04%E -4.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.04%E -4.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.04%E -4.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 14:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.97%E -5.76%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-12 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -12.97%E -5.76%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-12 15:25
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -5.24%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.33%E -3.91%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -11.04%E -4.80%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 14:51
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -11.26%E -4.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -7.17%E -2.99%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -15.11%E -4.95%K -7.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.93%E -4.54%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.24%EV -7.94%E -3.34%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -15.11%E -4.95%K -7.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-12 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.93%E -4.54%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.24%EV -7.94%E -3.34%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -15.11%E -4.95%K -7.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-12 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.66%EV -12.26%E -4.68%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.20%EV -12.97%E -5.76%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-12 15:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-09-12 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-09-12 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-09-12 15:25
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-09-12 15:25
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 32.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.69%1.7%2026-09-12 15:20
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.0%2026-09-12 15:10