La escuela de los momios

Everton de Viña del Mar v Palestino

Inicio: 2026-06-13 19:00 UTC

Final: Everton de Viña del Mar 1–2 Palestino

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Everton de Viña del Mar (Local)

Predicción 37.00%2.70momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.594%
Kelly -0.952%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.87%37.08%36.96%40.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.472.482.6644.44%40.47%40.32%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Palestino (Visitante)

Predicción 33.80%2.96momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -0.920%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.67%33.70%33.81%34.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.712.702.8840.00%36.90%37.04%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.20%3.42momio equitativo
EV -5.11%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -2.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.21%29.22%29.23%30.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.123.153.2537.04%32.01%31.75%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.17%EV -1.58%E -0.594%K -0.952%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.23%EV -5.02%E -1.78%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 18:41
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.62%EV -3.06%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.31%EV -2.65%E -0.920%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.07%EV -6.86%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 18:50
Coolbet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.05%EV -4.54%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.54%EV -3.66%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 14:30
GTbets2.57I 38.91%NM 36.67%EV -4.91%E -1.91%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.78%EV -5.69%E -2.04%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.55%EV -6.86%E -2.15%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 09:50
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -5.28%E -2.06%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 18:51
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -5.28%E -2.06%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 18:50
BetAnything2.56I 39.06%NM 36.67%EV -5.28%E -2.06%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.53%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 18:50
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -5.65%E -2.22%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-13 18:51
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 36.89%EV -7.13%E -2.84%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.43%EV -6.37%E -2.30%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -8.90%E -2.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-13 18:50
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 18:40
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 18:30
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 06:51
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-13 06:58
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-13 07:00
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 18:49
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 18:40
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 18:40
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.44%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 06:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -11.44%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-13 06:50
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.33%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-13 18:31
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.33%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-13 18:31
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.50%E -3.00%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.33%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-13 18:30
Codere (IT)2.49I 40.16%NM 36.69%EV -7.87%E -3.16%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-13 18:50
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -8.24%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.03%E -2.17%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 18:50
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -8.24%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.03%E -2.17%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 18:50
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -8.24%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-13 09:30
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -8.24%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-13 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -8.24%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-13 09:30
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -8.24%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-13 09:30
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -8.24%E -3.32%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-13 09:30
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-13 09:30
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-13 18:50
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.95%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-13 18:50
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-13 06:50
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.35%E -3.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.11%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-13 06:50
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -10.09%E -4.15%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-13 09:30
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-13 18:50
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-13 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.10%E -4.22%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 07:01
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.10%E -4.22%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 07:00
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.44%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-13 16:01
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.44%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-13 07:00
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.44%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-13 06:59
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.20%E -4.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -12.11%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-13 18:40
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.15%EV -13.05%E -5.55%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.23%EV -13.80%E -5.41%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -10.95%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-13 18:50
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.96%EV -14.90%E -6.48%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -10.42%E -3.93%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-13 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.08%EV -14.90%E -6.48%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.19%EV -15.49%E -6.20%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -21.17%E -7.84%K -12.45%G +0.000%20.5%2026-06-13 06:50
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -16.75%E -7.44%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -3.66%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-13 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.56%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.16%0.8%2026-06-13 18:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-06-13 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-06-13 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-06-13 18:51
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.42%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%2.8%2026-06-13 18:50
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-06-13 18:50