La escuela de los momios

Everton de Viña del Mar v Coquimbo Unido

Inicio: 2026-05-22 19:00 UTC

Final: Everton de Viña del Mar 1–1 Coquimbo Unido

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Everton de Viña del Mar (Local)

Predicción 32.33%3.09momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.62%32.24%32.33%33.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.852.873.0038.02%35.10%34.90%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Coquimbo Unido (Visitante)

Predicción 38.43%2.60momio equitativo
EV -0.081%
Ventaja -0.031%
Kelly -0.051%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.23%38.47%38.47%40.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.382.382.6045.45%42.07%42.02%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.24%3.42momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -0.702%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.36%29.29%29.20%30.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.103.103.3437.04%32.28%32.26%29.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -3.00%E -1.00%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.33%EV -0.081%E -0.031%K -0.051%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-22 18:50
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -3.00%E -1.00%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 00:20
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -3.00%E -1.00%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 00:20
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -3.00%E -1.00%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 00:20
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -3.00%E -1.00%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 00:20
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -3.00%E -1.00%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -3.00%E -1.00%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 00:20
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.98%EV -5.08%E -2.06%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.82%EV -2.35%E -0.702%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -4.62%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.96%EV -10.46%E -4.49%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 00:20
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -4.62%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -13.53%E -6.01%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-22 18:50
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -4.62%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 00:20
1xBet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.02%EV -5.91%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.50%EV -7.00%E -2.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.48%EV -7.61%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-22 18:50
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -6.24%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 18:40
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.24%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 18:50
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -6.24%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-22 18:50
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.06%EV -6.56%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -7.61%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:50
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 18:50
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 18:50
BetAnything2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -4.69%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 18:50
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 18:48
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 18:50
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -7.00%E -2.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-22 18:40
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -7.00%E -2.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-22 18:40
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -7.21%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-22 18:50
GTbets2.86I 34.97%NM 33.03%EV -7.53%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.63%EV -3.54%E -1.41%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.34%EV -5.85%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 18:50
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.85%E -2.76%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:50
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.61%EV -6.23%E -2.55%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 18:50
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 18:45
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 18:50
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-22 18:50
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-22 18:40
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-22 18:40
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-22 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-22 18:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-22 18:50
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.09%E -4.03%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 18:50
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -11.09%E -4.03%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-22 18:50
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.09%E -4.03%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-22 18:50
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -11.09%E -4.03%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -15.21%E -5.24%K -8.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-22 18:50
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.09%E -4.03%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-22 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.09%E -4.03%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-22 18:50
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.09%E -4.03%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-22 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.09%E -4.03%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-22 18:50
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -12.70%E -4.71%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -13.53%E -6.01%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.36%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-22 18:50
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.70%E -4.71%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -13.53%E -6.01%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-22 18:50
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -14.32%E -5.40%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -10.82%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-22 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.55%EV -14.97%E -5.69%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.72%EV -15.45%E -7.02%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.73%EV -21.06%E -7.80%K -12.39%G +0.000%20.5%2026-05-22 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-22 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-22 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%1.3%2026-05-22 18:50
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-05-22 18:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07%2.3%2026-05-22 18:50