L’École des cotes

Deportes Limache v Universidad Católica (CHI)

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 00:00 UTC

Score final : Deportes Limache 0–2 Universidad Católica (CHI)

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Deportes Limache (Local)

Prévision 36.73%2.72cote équitable
EV +0.284%
Avantage +0.104%
Kelly +0.164%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.13%36.72%36.57%38.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.492.502.7343.48%40.18%40.00%36.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.51%2.74cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.527%
Kelly -0.838%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.56%36.46%36.54%38.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.522.502.7042.02%39.67%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.76%3.74cote équitable
EV +0.337%
Avantage +0.090%
Kelly +0.122%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.00%26.83%26.89%30.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.403.403.7534.72%29.42%29.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.25%EV +0.284%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.81%EV -9.46%E -3.81%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.94%EV -0.734%E -0.198%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 23:45
Coolbet2.73I 36.63%NM 35.13%EV +0.284%E +0.104%K +0.164%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.47%EV -6.54%E -2.55%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -6.35%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 20:00
GTbets2.64I 37.88%NM 35.80%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.65%EV -8.36%E -3.33%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.55%EV -4.75%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 06:40
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.49%E -1.73%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.35%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 23:54
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 23:56
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.35%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 15:50
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 23:55
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 22:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 22:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 22:30
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 22:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -6.33%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -9.46%E -3.81%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-14 22:30
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 23:55
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.35%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 23:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.337%E +0.090%K +0.122%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 23:54
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 23:56
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 23:55
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 23:50
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 23:55
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 15:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 16:05
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -1.42%E -0.527%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -19.73%E -6.58%K -9.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 23:55
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.37%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 22:30
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.89%EV -8.16%E -3.27%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.92%EV -11.28%E -4.64%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-14 22:30
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -8.53%E -3.43%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.04%EV -6.17%E -2.40%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 23:55
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -8.53%E -3.43%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.04%EV -6.17%E -2.40%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 23:55
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.90%E -3.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 23:56
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.52%EV -8.90%E -3.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 23:55
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -9.63%E -3.92%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.02%EV -2.15%E -0.804%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.35%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 23:55
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -9.63%E -3.92%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.02%EV -2.15%E -0.804%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.35%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 23:55
BetAnything2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -9.63%E -3.92%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.02%EV -2.15%E -0.804%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.35%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 23:55
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -5.08%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 23:55
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.35%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 23:56
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 23:50
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 23:50
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 23:50
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 23:55
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.00%E -4.08%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 23:55
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 23:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 23:55
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 23:55
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -11.84%E -4.93%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -8.73%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 23:55
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -12.57%E -5.28%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -13.11%E -5.51%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.93%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-16 23:50
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -13.68%E -5.82%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -12.38%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -10.37%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 23:56
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -15.51%E -6.74%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-16 23:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -15.51%E -6.74%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -12.38%E -5.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -22.94%E -7.97%K -12.20%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-16 23:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 37.02%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%0.0%2026-05-16 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-05-16 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-05-16 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.60%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-05-16 23:55
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.22%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.86%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-05-16 23:50