Idioma:Español
Deportes Limache v Ñublense
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Deportes Limache (Local)
Predicción 42.14%2.37momio equitativo
EV -4.35%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -3.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.01%42.10%42.11%43.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.162.2748.78%45.95%46.30%44.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ñublense (Visitante)
Predicción 30.49%3.28momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -0.564%
Kelly -0.818%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.49%30.55%30.47%31.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.013.003.2235.71%33.20%33.33%31.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.37%3.65momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -0.957%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.50%27.35%27.42%28.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.343.353.5331.25%29.93%29.85%28.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Deportes Limache (Local): 42.14%; Ñublense (Visitante): 30.49%; Empate: 27.37%. Para Ñublense (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.28. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.22, con un valor esperado de -1.81%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -4.35%E -1.92%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.96%EV -2.42%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.79%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-01 23:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.58%EV -4.77%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.16%EV -2.73%E -0.856%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.26%EV -3.38%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.19%E -2.31%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -10.05%E -3.41%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-01 17:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.02%EV -6.04%E -2.71%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.80%EV -1.81%E -0.564%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.18%EV -3.38%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.21%EV -6.46%E -2.91%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.47%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.21%EV -6.46%E -2.91%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.47%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.21%EV -6.46%E -2.91%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.47%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 22:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.21%EV -6.46%E -2.91%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.47%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.46%E -2.91%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-01 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.46%E -2.91%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-01 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.92%EV -6.88%E -3.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.67%EV -7.91%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -7.48%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 19:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.47%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 23:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.47%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-01 23:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.91%EV -4.56%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.47%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 23:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.47%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 23:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 22:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.30%E -3.32%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -13.10%E -4.60%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-01 23:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.95%EV -7.72%E -3.53%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.99%E -4.16%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.47%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 04:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.99%E -4.16%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.47%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 04:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.99%E -4.16%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.47%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 04:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.99%E -4.16%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.47%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 04:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -8.99%E -4.16%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.47%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 04:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -10.05%E -3.41%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -5.57%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-01 23:53 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 21:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.04%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.05%E -3.41%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-01 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 23:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 23:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.18%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-01 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.18%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-01 21:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 21:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.62%E -5.22%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-01 23:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.41%E -4.38%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -14.62%E -5.22%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -11.04%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-01 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -9.83%E -4.59%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.47%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 04:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.78%EV -10.67%E -5.03%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-28 04:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -11.51%E -5.48%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -7.00%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -11.04%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-28 04:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.51%E -5.48%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -13.10%E -4.60%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-01 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.51%E -5.48%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.04%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-01 23:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.69%EV -13.62%E -6.64%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.39%EV -12.18%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.04%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-01 23:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 1.6% | 2026-08-01 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 1.6% | 2026-08-01 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 1.6% | 2026-08-01 23:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 1.6% | 2026-08-01 23:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50% | 2.4% | 2026-08-01 23:55 |