La escuela de los momios

Deportes Limache v Coquimbo Unido

Inicio: 2026-05-31 16:30 UTC

Final: Deportes Limache 2–3 Coquimbo Unido

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Deportes Limache (Local)

Predicción 35.95%2.78momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.409%
Kelly -0.643%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.40%35.92%35.93%36.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.562.552.7541.67%39.09%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Coquimbo Unido (Visitante)

Predicción 36.44%2.74momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.04%36.34%36.48%37.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.512.502.6743.48%39.82%40.00%37.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.61%3.62momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.87%27.74%27.59%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.303.4934.72%30.40%30.30%28.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets2.75I 36.36%NM 34.40%EV -1.13%E -0.409%K -0.643%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.54%EV -8.17%E -3.24%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.07%EV -6.97%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 14:10
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.93%EV -3.64%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.48%EV -3.80%E -1.44%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -3.66%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 16:20
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.90%EV -4.00%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.90%EV -2.70%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.14%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -7.52%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 16:00
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.14%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -7.52%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 15:50
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.14%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -7.52%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 15:50
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.14%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -7.52%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 15:50
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.14%EV -5.44%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -9.63%E -3.88%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -7.52%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 16:00
Coolbet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -5.80%E -2.21%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -4.53%E -1.73%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 16:20
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.50%EV -3.07%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV -7.52%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 16:10
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.50%EV -3.07%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV -7.52%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 16:10
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.50%EV -3.07%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.19%EV -7.52%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 16:10
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.76%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 16:00
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -3.43%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 16:20
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 16:00
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 15:49
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 13:09
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.52%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 15:50
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.87%EV -9.26%E -3.72%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 15:49
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-25 11:30
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -6.52%E -2.51%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -11.45%E -4.71%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-31 16:00
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -5.98%E -2.32%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.52%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 16:10
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -5.98%E -2.32%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.52%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 16:10
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.92%EV -7.24%E -2.81%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 16:10
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.52%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-31 16:05
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 15:49
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-31 16:20
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-31 16:10
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 16:40
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -3.43%E -1.30%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -18.56%E -6.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -8.32%E -3.26%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -12.54%E -5.23%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 16:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.11%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.14%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 15:49
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.11%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -4.53%E -1.73%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 16:20
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.11%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 15:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.11%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.90%E -2.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-25 08:08
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -10.11%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -14.42%E -4.65%K -6.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 16:19
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.11%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 16:10
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.11%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 15:49
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.11%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 15:50
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.11%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.11%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-31 16:00
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.11%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-31 16:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.11%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-31 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.11%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.72%E -4.38%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-31 16:00
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -10.11%E -4.05%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -16.19%E -7.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -11.66%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-31 16:10
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.91%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -8.90%E -3.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.42%E -4.65%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -11.91%E -4.86%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -14.37%E -6.11%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-31 15:50
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -13.71%E -5.71%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -13.27%E -5.58%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -10.28%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-31 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -13.71%E -5.71%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -16.19%E -7.04%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -20.50%E -7.12%K -10.90%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-31 16:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-31 16:20
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-05-31 16:00
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.22%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.97%2.1%2026-05-31 16:20