La escuela de los momios

Coquimbo Unido v Universidad de Chile

Inicio: 2026-03-14 21:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Predicción 44.50%2.25momio equitativo
EV +0.121%
Ventaja +0.054%
Kelly +0.097%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.41%44.43%44.63%46.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.082.082.2554.05%48.02%48.08%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Universidad de Chile (Visitante)

Predicción 25.80%3.88momio equitativo
EV -0.932%
Ventaja -0.243%
Kelly -0.328%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.84%25.87%25.71%29.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.463.503.8432.79%28.93%28.57%26.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.70%3.37momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.418%
Kelly -0.598%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.48%29.70%29.66%31.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.043.053.3238.02%32.87%32.79%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV +0.121%E +0.054%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -20.02%E -6.46%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -9.41%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 20:35
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV +0.121%E +0.054%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -20.02%E -6.46%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -9.41%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 20:35
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV +0.121%E +0.054%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -20.02%E -6.46%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -9.41%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 20:35
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV +0.121%E +0.054%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -20.02%E -6.46%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -9.41%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 20:35
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV +0.121%E +0.054%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -20.02%E -6.46%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -9.41%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV +0.121%E +0.054%K +0.097%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -20.02%E -6.46%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -9.41%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 20:35
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -0.769%E -0.345%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -21.31%E -6.99%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 20:35
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -2.10%E -0.956%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -21.31%E -6.99%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -12.38%E -4.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 20:35
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.79%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.98%E -0.600%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 20:35
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -5.66%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.65%EV -4.29%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.46%EV -4.06%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 20:55
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.56%EV -6.11%E -2.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.04%EV -0.932%E -0.243%K -0.328%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.40%EV -2.87%E -0.878%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 20:55
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.95%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 20:55
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.25%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.92%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 20:54
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.92%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 20:45
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.92%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 20:45
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 20:54
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.41%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 20:49
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.41%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 20:50
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.41%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 20:50
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.25%EV -7.00%E -3.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.48%EV -1.39%E -0.418%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 20:55
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.25%EV -7.00%E -3.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.48%EV -1.39%E -0.418%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 20:55
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 43.76%EV -7.00%E -3.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 20:55
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -7.44%E -3.58%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.44%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 20:55
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -7.44%E -3.58%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.44%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 20:54
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.80%EV -7.44%E -3.58%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.67%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 20:55
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.95%EV -8.33%E -4.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -7.33%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 20:54
Unibet (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 42.48%EV -8.33%E -4.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -17.44%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.17%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.30%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-14 20:55
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.92%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 20:49
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 20:50
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 20:55
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.99%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.92%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 20:55
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -9.41%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 20:45
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 20:50
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 20:50
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 20:55
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 20:55
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.30%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 20:55
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -10.11%E -5.01%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 20:55
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -9.41%E -3.08%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 20:54
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.92%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 20:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.89%E -3.63%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 20:50
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.30%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-14 20:50
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -12.38%E -4.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-14 20:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.02%EV -11.45%E -5.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.21%EV -13.86%E -4.78%K -7.30%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 20:55
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.94%EV -14.12%E -7.32%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -1.96%E -0.517%K -0.702%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -7.92%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.38%EV -15.01%E -7.86%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.51%EV -21.88%E -8.32%K -13.42%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-14 20:50
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.02%EV -17.68%E -9.56%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.74%EV -16.83%E -6.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-14 20:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 43.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 26.26%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.36%-1.1%2026-03-14 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-14 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-14 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-14 20:55
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.93%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.86%3.0%2026-03-14 20:50