La escuela de los momios

Coquimbo Unido v O'Higgins

Inicio: 2026-06-13 16:30 UTC

Final: Coquimbo Unido 0–0 O'Higgins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Coquimbo Unido (Local)

Predicción 52.45%1.91momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -3.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.38%52.58%52.44%55.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.761.761.8561.73%56.96%56.82%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

O'Higgins (Visitante)

Predicción 21.55%4.64momio equitativo
EV +1.28%
Ventaja +0.272%
Kelly +0.346%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.83%21.44%21.61%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.244.204.7026.67%23.60%23.81%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.01%3.85momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.380%
Kelly -0.516%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.35%25.98%25.95%28.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.483.453.7934.72%28.71%28.99%26.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -6.65%E -3.73%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -12.88%E -3.85%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 16:10
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -6.65%E -3.73%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -12.88%E -3.85%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 16:10
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.83%EV -6.65%E -3.73%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.876%E -0.191%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.35%EV -1.70%E -0.450%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 16:20
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -8.22%E -4.70%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -0.876%E -0.191%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 16:19
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.60%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.09%EV -1.95%E -0.429%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.31%EV -1.44%E -0.380%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 16:10
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -8.22%E -4.70%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -3.03%E -0.674%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -15.48%E -4.76%K -6.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-13 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -15.04%E -9.28%K -24.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -3.03%E -0.674%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -3.78%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -2.97%E -1.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.54%EV -4.11%E -0.923%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.63%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 14:30
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.78%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 16:10
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -7.17%E -4.05%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 16:10
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.01%EV -8.22%E -4.70%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.91%EV -6.90%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-13 16:19
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -8.22%E -4.70%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.26%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.38%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 16:20
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-13 16:09
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-13 16:10
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -8.74%E -5.03%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.68%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-13 16:20
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.10%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.84%EV -7.99%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -6.90%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-12 23:30
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 16:10
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -6.65%E -3.73%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.28%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-08 05:20
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -6.65%E -3.73%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.28%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-08 05:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -6.65%E -3.73%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.28%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-08 05:19
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -6.65%E -3.73%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.28%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-08 05:19
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -6.65%E -3.73%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.28%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-08 05:19
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -7.17%E -4.05%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -10.28%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-08 05:19
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 52.36%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.78%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.36%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.78%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 16:20
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.36%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.78%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 16:20
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 52.36%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.78%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 16:20
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -7.17%E -4.05%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.48%E -0.661%K -0.902%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 16:10
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.68%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.63%EV -7.69%E -4.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-08 05:19
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -9.27%E -5.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-13 16:10
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.22%E -4.70%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-13 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -9.27%E -5.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.18%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -9.27%E -5.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.18%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 16:10
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -9.27%E -5.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.18%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 16:10
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -9.27%E -5.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.18%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 16:10
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -9.79%E -5.69%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.08%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-13 16:20
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.59%EV -9.27%E -5.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -12.88%E -3.85%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-08 05:19
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.28%EV -14.51%E -8.90%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.18%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%15.2%2026-06-13 16:20
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -5.60%E -3.11%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -13.81%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-13 16:10
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -6.65%E -3.73%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -13.81%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-13 16:10
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -8.22%E -4.70%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.81%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-13 16:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -9.27%E -5.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.81%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-13 16:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -9.27%E -5.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.81%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-13 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -9.27%E -5.36%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -13.81%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.58%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-13 16:10
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.84%E -6.38%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.81%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -8.98%E -2.57%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-13 16:10
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -8.22%E -4.70%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -13.81%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -14.18%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-13 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -11.89%E -7.08%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -14.88%E -3.77%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -10.28%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-13 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.38%EV -12.42%E -7.43%K -18.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.99%EV -19.19%E -5.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.63%EV -25.10%E -8.72%K -13.35%G +0.000%21.3%2026-06-13 16:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%1.2%2026-06-13 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-06-13 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-06-13 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-06-13 16:20
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%2.6%2026-06-13 16:20
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%3.1%2026-06-13 16:20