L’École des cotes

Cobresal v Universidad de Chile

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 19:00 UTC

Score final : Cobresal 1–0 Universidad de Chile

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cobresal (Local)

Prévision 25.17%3.97cote équitable
EV +0.686%
Avantage +0.172%
Kelly +0.229%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.14%25.19%25.10%26.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.663.704.0030.30%27.34%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Universidad de Chile (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.44%2.02cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -2.11%
Kelly -4.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.16%49.48%49.53%52.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.861.851.9458.14%53.88%53.91%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.39%3.94cote équitable
EV +1.55%
Avantage +0.388%
Kelly +0.517%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.60%25.33%25.37%27.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.573.504.0033.33%28.01%28.57%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.57%E -2.92%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +1.55%E +0.388%K +0.517%G +0.008%5.9%2026-05-17 18:40
Pinnacle3.76I 26.60%NM 25.56%EV -5.35%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.80%EV -4.58%E -2.37%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%EV -0.987%E -0.253%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 18:56
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.36%EV -5.57%E -2.92%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.53%E -0.928%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 18:40
1xBet3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -2.59%E -0.668%K -0.901%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.57%EV -4.09%E -2.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.58%EV -4.54%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 18:55
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -7.05%E -3.75%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 18:45
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -7.05%E -3.75%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.80%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 18:45
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.90%EV -7.55%E -4.04%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.06%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 18:40
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.05%E -3.75%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.06%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 18:30
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.05%E -3.75%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.06%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 18:30
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -1.83%E -0.469%K -0.631%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -14.96%E -8.70%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -6.06%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 18:35
GTbets3.84I 26.04%NM 24.79%EV -3.34%E -0.870%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -4.58%E -2.37%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.87%EV -6.57%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:41
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +0.686%E +0.172%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.11%EV -6.06%E -3.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV -7.33%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:50
Marathon Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -7.55%E -4.04%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.33%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 18:35
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.54%E -4.61%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -7.33%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 18:55
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -7.33%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:45
BetAnything3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -7.33%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:45
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -9.03%E -4.91%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -7.33%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 18:45
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -8.54%E -4.61%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -7.33%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 18:44
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.06%E -3.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.60%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 18:55
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -7.55%E -4.04%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.60%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 18:54
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -7.55%E -4.04%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.60%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 18:55
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.34%EV -8.04%E -4.32%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.87%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 18:45
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.55%E -4.04%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.87%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 18:45
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.08%EV -6.56%E -3.47%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 03:10
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -7.05%E -3.75%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 03:10
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -7.05%E -3.75%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -7.05%E -3.75%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 03:10
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -7.05%E -3.75%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 03:10
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.57%E -2.92%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 18:35
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -7.55%E -4.04%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 03:10
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.54%E -4.61%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 18:55
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.54%E -4.61%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 18:40
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 18:41
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 18:40
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.54%E -4.61%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 18:40
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.54%E -4.61%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 18:40
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.54%E -4.61%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 18:40
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.01%E -6.12%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 18:35
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -16.93%E -5.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -10.02%E -5.50%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -11.14%E -3.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-17 18:55
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -5.61%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.27%EV -8.54%E -4.61%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -12.41%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 03:10
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.57%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.14%EV -13.97%E -8.03%K -18.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.29%EV -12.41%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-17 18:44
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -6.87%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -13.68%E -4.02%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 03:10
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.68%E -4.02%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 18:55
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.68%E -4.02%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 18:54
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.52%E -5.20%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.68%E -4.02%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 23.87%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.29%EV -14.47%E -8.36%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.85%EV -23.84%E -7.95%K -11.92%G +0.000%19.7%2026-05-17 18:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.06%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-05-17 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.06%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-05-17 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.06%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-05-17 18:56
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-05-17 18:45
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.1%2026-05-17 18:56