La escuela de los momios

Cobresal v Deportes Limache

Inicio: 2026-03-15 21:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cobresal (Local)

Predicción 40.73%2.45momio equitativo
EV -0.200%
Ventaja -0.082%
Kelly -0.138%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.55%40.57%40.82%42.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.262.252.4548.78%44.26%44.35%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Deportes Limache (Visitante)

Predicción 32.58%3.07momio equitativo
EV +0.675%
Ventaja +0.218%
Kelly +0.323%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.05%32.67%32.55%34.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.792.753.0940.00%35.90%36.36%32.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.68%3.75momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.416%
Kelly -0.571%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.78%26.76%26.63%28.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.393.403.6934.72%29.53%29.41%27.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.31%EV -7.53%E -3.32%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.08%EV +0.675%E +0.218%K +0.323%G +0.002%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 20:55
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -2.26%E -0.752%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 20:55
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.35%EV -5.09%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.55%EV -3.56%E -1.20%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.11%EV -1.53%E -0.416%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 20:55
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -4.68%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -3.89%E -1.32%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -3.94%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 20:55
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -4.68%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -3.89%E -1.32%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -3.94%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 20:55
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.75%EV -4.86%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -3.94%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 20:55
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.52%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 20:50
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.17%EV -5.52%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -8.74%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 20:55
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.00%EV -7.94%E -3.51%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.06%EV -5.84%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -8.21%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 20:54
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -6.17%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 20:50
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -6.17%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 20:55
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.10%EV -6.17%E -2.14%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 20:55
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.14%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 20:50
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.14%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 20:55
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.14%E -2.51%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 20:55
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 20:55
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 20:50
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 20:55
BetAnything2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 20:55
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 20:55
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 20:53
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 20:55
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.77%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 20:55
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 20:55
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 20:55
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 20:55
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 20:55
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 20:50
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 20:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 20:55
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 20:53
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 20:50
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 20:50
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 20:55
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 20:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -12.42%E -5.78%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -10.40%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -13.28%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 20:55
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -5.09%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 20:55
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -14.61%E -4.57%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 20:50
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -13.28%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 20:55
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 20:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 20:49
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.02%EV -12.42%E -5.78%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.66%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 20:55
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -14.46%E -6.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -12.03%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 20:54
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.200%E -0.082%K -0.138%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.98%EV -14.31%E -5.44%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 20:15
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 34.01%EV -15.94%E -6.18%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -13.28%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 20:50
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.30%EV -16.49%E -8.05%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.05%EV -18.55%E -7.42%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.65%EV -17.28%E -5.57%K -8.23%G +0.000%21.0%2026-03-15 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 38.92%EV -14.46%E -6.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 32.70%EV -18.55%E -7.42%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.38%EV -23.15%E -8.04%K -12.31%G +0.000%22.3%2026-03-15 20:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.13%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-03-15 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.13%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-03-15 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.13%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-03-15 20:55
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.16%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.0%2026-03-15 20:55
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-03-15 20:55