L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Ponte Preta v Operario PR

2026-11-12 22:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ponte Preta (Local)

Prévision 18.67%5.36cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -0.380%
Kelly -0.469%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.75%18.74%18.55%20.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.884.805.2522.22%20.50%20.83%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Operario PR (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.58%1.74cote équitable
EV -4.42%
Avantage -2.66%
Kelly -6.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.76%57.47%57.70%58.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.601.611.6666.67%62.52%62.11%60.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.75%4.21cote équitable
EV -4.98%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.83%23.79%23.75%24.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.813.824.0027.78%26.23%26.18%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Ponte Preta (Local) : 18.67% ; Operario PR (Visiteur) : 57.58% ; Match nul : 23.75%. Pour Ponte Preta (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.36. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 5.25, pour une espérance de -1.99% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -1.99%E -0.380%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -9.03%E -5.71%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-10 10:40
BetRivers🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.37%EV -6.15%E -3.77%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-10 15:39
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.37%EV -6.15%E -3.77%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-10 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.37%EV -6.15%E -3.77%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-10 15:40
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.37%EV -6.15%E -3.77%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-10 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.37%EV -6.15%E -3.77%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-10 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.37%EV -6.15%E -3.77%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-10 15:40
betPARX🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.37%EV -6.15%E -3.77%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-10 15:40
NordicBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -10.75%E -6.94%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -6.17%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-10 10:39
Betsson🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -4.79%E -0.940%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -10.75%E -6.94%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -6.17%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-10 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.72%E -4.15%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-10 10:40
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.16%EV -6.15%E -3.77%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-10 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -7.30%E -4.53%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-10 11:09
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.59%EV -8.45%E -5.31%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 11:55
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.60%E -6.12%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 15:55
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.66%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -10.75%E -6.94%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-10 16:40
Pinnacle🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -7.59%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.48%EV -6.15%E -3.77%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.60%EV -5.70%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-10 08:35
SportsBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.47%EV -6.15%E -3.77%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.98%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-10 10:39
Codere (IT)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -8.53%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.33%EV -11.33%E -7.36%K -20.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.33%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-10 10:40
Bovada🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -9.46%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -7.30%E -4.53%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-10 08:29
DraftKings🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.22%EV -6.72%E -4.15%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -6.17%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-10 08:25
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -7.30%E -4.53%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-10 10:39
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -9.60%E -6.12%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-10 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -9.60%E -6.12%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-10 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -9.60%E -6.12%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-10 15:54
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -9.60%E -6.12%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-10 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.91%EV -9.60%E -6.12%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -13.30%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-10 15:40
Grosvenor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.06%EV -10.18%E -6.52%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -13.30%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-10 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -10.39%E -2.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.06%EV -10.18%E -6.52%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -13.30%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-10 15:40
888sport🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.11%E -3.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-10 08:25
William Hill🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.11%E -3.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-10 08:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.11%E -3.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-10 08:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.11%E -3.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-10 08:25
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -7.87%E -4.92%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-10 10:40
TABtouch🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.70%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.95%EV -10.18%E -6.52%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -13.30%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-10 15:40
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -11.33%E -2.38%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.28%EV -13.63%E -9.09%K -27.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.31%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-10 03:10
LiveScore Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.67%EV -12.26%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 56.97%EV -11.33%E -7.36%K -20.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -14.49%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-10 15:39
Marathon Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.79%EV -13.19%E -2.84%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.12%EV -5.57%E -3.40%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.09%EV -9.26%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-10 06:19
1xBet🎯4.64I 21.55%NM 19.96%EV -13.38%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.79%EV -4.42%E -2.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -9.26%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-10 06:35
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.87%E -4.92%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-10 10:20
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.13%E -3.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -7.87%E -4.92%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -14.49%E -4.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-10 09:05
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -15.99%E -3.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.13%EV -7.30%E -4.53%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.73%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-10 10:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%4.4%2026-11-10 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%4.4%2026-11-10 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%4.4%2026-11-10 17:05
Matchbook◎5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%5.4%2026-11-10 17:55
Smarkets◎4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%5.8%2026-11-10 17:31

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