L’École des cotesFrançais
Nautico PE v São Bernardo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nautico PE (Local)
Prévision 53.87%1.86cote équitable
EV -5.19%
Avantage -2.95%
Kelly -6.82%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.96%53.86%53.85%54.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.711.721.7660.98%58.51%58.14%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
São Bernardo (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.17%5.22cote équitable
EV +0.847%
Avantage +0.161%
Kelly +0.199%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 5.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.08%19.12%19.26%20.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.844.805.2623.09%20.65%20.83%19.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.96%3.71cote équitable
EV -4.31%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.33%27.03%26.89%27.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.433.453.5532.26%29.14%28.99%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.47%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.22%EV +0.847%E +0.161%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.31%EV -5.39%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -0.304%E -0.058%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 19:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -0.304%E -0.058%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 19:45 |
| BetUS | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.08%EV -0.304%E -0.058%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 19:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.40%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.14%E -0.828%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-18 20:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.14%E -0.828%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.14%E -0.828%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 20:34 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.14%E -0.828%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 20:35 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.14%E -0.828%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 20:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.14%E -0.828%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 20:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.14%E -0.828%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 20:35 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.69%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.14%E -0.828%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 20:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.14%E -0.828%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 20:35 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.98%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.14%E -0.828%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 20:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.86%EV -9.50%E -5.65%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -6.06%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -10.03%E -6.01%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -6.06%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 15:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.27%EV -6.26%E -3.60%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -8.89%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.73%EV -10.57%E -6.37%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -11.11%E -6.73%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 20:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -11.65%E -7.10%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -11.65%E -7.10%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 20:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.74%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 14:08 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.74%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 14:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.57%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV -9.89%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 09:29 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.81%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 20:35 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.81%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 20:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.81%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -5.72%E -3.27%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.81%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 20:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -7.34%E -4.27%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 20:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -10.03%E -6.01%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 18:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -10.03%E -6.01%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.96%EV -10.03%E -6.01%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.04%EV -16.98%E -3.92%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -16.44%E -5.30%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-18 15:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 20:45 |