L’École des cotes

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Avai

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 00:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prévision 54.76%1.83cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -2.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.38%54.94%54.58%57.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.701.691.7963.69%58.76%59.00%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Avai (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.33%5.17cote équitable
EV +2.84%
Avantage +0.533%
Kelly +0.657%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 5.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.02%19.27%19.42%20.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.684.725.3223.09%21.36%21.16%18.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.91%3.86cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -0.759%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.41%25.79%26.00%26.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.533.503.7529.41%28.35%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.02%EV +2.84%E +0.533%K +0.657%G +0.019%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 00:29
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.74%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV +0.517%E +0.099%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 00:30
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.74%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV +0.517%E +0.099%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 00:30
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.76%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.03%EV +0.323%E +0.062%K +0.077%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -7.77%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:29
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 55.82%EV -9.64%E -5.84%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.24%EV -2.38%E -0.472%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 00:27
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 55.82%EV -9.64%E -5.84%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.24%EV -2.38%E -0.472%K -0.588%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 00:29
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -3.35%E -0.670%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 00:29
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -7.45%E -4.41%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.35%E -0.670%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:29
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -14.02%E -8.93%K -24.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -3.35%E -0.670%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-02 00:30
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.31%EV -7.45%E -4.41%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.28%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 00:30
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.51%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -7.22%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 00:29
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -11.29%E -6.97%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -7.22%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 00:29
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -7.22%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 00:29
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -7.22%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 00:30
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -7.22%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -7.22%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 00:29
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.18%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 00:28
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -8.18%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -2.85%E -0.759%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 00:29
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.44%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.18%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 00:29
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.44%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.18%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -8.03%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 00:29
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -8.18%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 00:29
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -7.45%E -4.41%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.18%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-02 00:29
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -9.64%E -5.84%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -8.18%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 00:29
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.28%EV -7.45%E -4.41%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -9.15%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 00:30
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -9.64%E -5.84%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -11.08%E -2.41%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-02 00:29
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 52.38%EV -1.98%E -1.10%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -13.01%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.38%EV -1.98%E -1.10%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -13.01%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.38%EV -1.98%E -1.10%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -13.01%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:30
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.38%EV -1.98%E -1.10%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -13.01%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:29
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.38%EV -1.98%E -1.10%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -13.01%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:30
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.38%EV -1.98%E -1.10%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -13.01%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:30
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 52.38%EV -1.98%E -1.10%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -13.01%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 00:29
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -13.01%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 00:22
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.45%E -4.41%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.01%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 00:29
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -13.01%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-02 00:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -11.29%E -6.97%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -13.01%E -2.89%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-02 00:29
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.95%E -3.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.62%E -3.08%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -14.95%E -3.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -10.62%E -3.08%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 00:30
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -14.95%E -3.40%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 00:30
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 52.74%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -15.91%E -3.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-02 00:30
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.74%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -15.91%E -3.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-02 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.74%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -15.91%E -3.66%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.91%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-02 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -16.30%E -3.76%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-02 00:30
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -16.30%E -3.76%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-02 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -16.30%E -3.76%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-02 00:29
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -16.30%E -3.76%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -9.32%E -2.66%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-02 00:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-04-02 00:30
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.85%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%1.7%2026-04-02 00:30
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-04-02 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.04%2.4%2026-04-02 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.96%2.7%2026-04-02 00:30