Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Avai v Sport Recife

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-19 22:30 UTC

Score final : Avai 2–1 Sport Recife

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Avai (Local)

Prévision 39.73%2.52cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.18%39.55%39.77%40.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.312.302.4545.45%43.24%43.48%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sport Recife (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.19%3.31cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.75%30.27%30.20%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.033.053.2035.71%33.01%32.79%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.07%3.33cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.886%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.32%30.18%30.03%31.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.033.003.2334.48%33.02%33.33%30.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Avai (Local) : 39.73% ; Sport Recife (Visiteur) : 30.19% ; Match nul : 30.07%. Pour Avai (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.52. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.45, pour une espérance de -2.66% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -2.66%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 22:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -2.66%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 22:05
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -2.66%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 22:05
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.08%EV -3.38%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%EV -2.86%E -0.886%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 22:00
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.38%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.52%EV -10.38%E -3.48%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.38%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.52%EV -10.38%E -3.48%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -15.46%E -5.52%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-19 22:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.44%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 22:10
Bovada🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.02%EV -5.84%E -2.46%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.64%EV -5.79%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -11.28%E -3.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-19 22:09
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.52%EV -6.23%E -2.64%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -9.18%E -3.04%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 22:10
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -6.63%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-19 22:10
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.63%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 21:50
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -6.63%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 22:05
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -6.63%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-19 21:50
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -6.63%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-19 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.61%EV -7.03%E -3.00%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -5.79%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.69%EV -9.18%E -3.04%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 22:05
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -7.42%E -3.19%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -7.42%E -3.19%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -7.42%E -3.19%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 22:05
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -7.42%E -3.19%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 22:05
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -7.42%E -3.19%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 22:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -7.42%E -3.19%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 22:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.94%EV -7.42%E -3.19%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.62%E -3.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 21:50
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -8.62%E -3.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.62%E -3.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 21:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.62%E -3.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.62%E -3.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 21:50
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.62%E -3.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -10.93%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-19 22:05
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.62%E -3.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-19 21:50
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.62%E -3.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-19 22:05
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.62%E -3.75%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-19 22:05
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.26%EV -9.41%E -4.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-19 21:50
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.26%EV -9.41%E -4.13%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-19 21:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.38%EV -9.81%E -4.32%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 21:50
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-19 21:45
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-19 21:55
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-19 22:10
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -10.93%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-19 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-19 22:05
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.04%E -4.53%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-19 21:50
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.80%EV -11.40%E -5.11%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-19 22:05
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.59%E -5.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-19 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.59%E -5.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-19 21:46
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.59%E -5.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-19 21:45
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -12.59%E -5.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-19 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -12.59%E -5.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -13.95%E -4.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -11.28%E -3.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-19 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -12.59%E -5.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -13.95%E -4.89%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -11.28%E -3.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-19 22:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-08-19 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-08-19 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-08-19 22:10
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-08-19 22:05
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%1.1%2026-08-19 22:10