L’École des cotesFrançais
Atletico Goianiense v São Bernardo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Prévision 49.72%2.01cote équitable
EV -5.04%
Avantage -2.64%
Kelly -5.54%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.94%49.82%49.54%52.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.851.851.9158.14%54.08%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
São Bernardo (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.20%4.72cote équitable
EV +0.684%
Avantage +0.144%
Kelly +0.182%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.23%21.14%21.28%22.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.354.314.7525.00%22.98%23.17%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.09%3.44cote équitable
EV -4.02%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -1.75%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.14%29.04%29.18%30.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.163.153.3033.33%31.65%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.21%EV -7.53%E -4.05%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV +0.684%E +0.144%K +0.182%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.33%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.37%EV +0.048%E +0.010%K +0.013%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -4.60%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 18:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -6.53%E -3.47%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -0.376%E -0.080%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.43%EV -10.71%E -3.49%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -14.49%E -8.42%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -0.376%E -0.080%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -6.53%E -3.47%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -2.50%E -0.542%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -8.38%E -2.66%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -6.53%E -3.47%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -2.50%E -0.542%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -8.38%E -2.66%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -8.02%E -4.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -2.50%E -0.542%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.51%E -5.84%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.62%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -7.03%E -3.76%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -7.03%E -3.76%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Bovada | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.53%EV -7.53%E -4.05%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -9.25%E -2.97%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 18:59 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.02%E -4.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 18:59 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.02%E -4.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.02%E -4.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 18:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.36%EV -8.02%E -4.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 18:46 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -6.53%E -3.47%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.38%E -2.66%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -8.02%E -4.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.22%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -12.99%E -7.43%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -8.22%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-24 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.29%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.20%EV -7.53%E -4.05%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.34%EV -10.01%E -5.53%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.47%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.53%E -3.47%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.53%E -3.47%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.53%E -3.47%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -6.53%E -3.47%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.35%EV -10.51%E -5.84%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.27%EV -11.01%E -6.15%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.17%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -8.38%E -2.66%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.03%E -3.76%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.02%E -4.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.02%E -4.34%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-24 18:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -7.03%E -3.76%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -13.09%E -3.19%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 18:57 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -13.09%E -3.19%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -8.38%E -2.66%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.46%EV -9.51%E -5.23%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -13.09%E -3.19%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -8.38%E -2.66%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.94%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -15.21%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.16%EV -8.67%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95% | 10.1% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 47.88% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.16% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 28.96% | 16.7% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 35.52% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 41.87% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 22.61% | 47.4% | 2026-05-24 19:00 |