La escuela de los momios

Vitoria v Mirassol

Inicio: 2026-03-22 21:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Vitoria (Local)

Predicción 36.69%2.73momio equitativo
EV -0.215%
Ventaja -0.079%
Kelly -0.125%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.04%36.67%36.73%38.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.512.502.7243.48%39.91%40.00%36.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mirassol (Visitante)

Predicción 32.76%3.05momio equitativo
EV +2.86%
Ventaja +0.911%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.038%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.90%32.72%32.84%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.852.853.1439.22%35.14%35.09%31.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.56%3.27momio equitativo
EV -0.692%
Ventaja -0.213%
Kelly -0.308%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.22%30.62%30.43%32.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.043.053.2538.02%32.94%32.79%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.60%EV -5.35%E -2.07%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.90%EV +2.86%E +0.911%K +1.34%G +0.038%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.50%EV -5.89%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 21:29
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%EV -1.73%E -0.575%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%EV -0.692%E -0.213%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 21:30
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.26%EV -1.73%E -0.575%K -0.863%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%EV -0.692%E -0.213%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 21:29
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.82%EV -0.949%E -0.351%K -0.558%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.40%EV -5.89%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 21:29
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -3.75%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 21:30
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -3.75%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 21:30
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -3.75%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 21:29
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -3.75%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 21:30
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -3.75%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 21:30
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -3.75%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 21:30
Coolbet2.72I 36.76%NM 35.04%EV -0.215%E -0.079%K -0.125%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.64%EV -4.35%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.31%EV -9.86%E -3.34%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 21:29
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV -2.78%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 21:29
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV -2.78%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 21:29
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 35.94%EV -2.78%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 21:29
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -2.22%E -0.694%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 21:30
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 21:30
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -3.75%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 21:16
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 21:29
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.46%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.66%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -4.66%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 21:28
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -5.66%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -10.85%E -4.47%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -5.66%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 21:29
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -5.66%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 21:29
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.66%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 21:29
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.66%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 21:29
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.66%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 21:29
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.66%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 21:29
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.79%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.33%EV -5.98%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -2.22%E -0.694%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 21:29
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -5.98%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 21:29
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -2.22%E -0.694%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 21:29
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 21:30
Bovada2.63I 38.02%NM 35.72%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.96%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 21:29
BetUS2.63I 38.02%NM 35.72%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.96%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 21:29
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 21:29
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 21:29
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 21:29
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 21:29
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 21:29
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%EV -12.69%E -5.33%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 21:29
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.20%EV -5.35%E -2.07%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -6.97%E -2.45%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.92%EV -7.72%E -2.56%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 21:29
GTbets2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.55%E -3.00%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.70%EV -6.97%E -2.45%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 21:29
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -3.88%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -7.62%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -8.94%E -3.00%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 21:29
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.61%EV -3.88%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -7.62%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -8.94%E -3.00%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 21:29
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -3.75%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.22%E -0.694%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 21:29
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.22%E -0.694%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 21:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.22%E -0.694%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 21:29
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 21:29
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 21:30
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.13%EV -13.79%E -5.87%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 21:29
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.13%EV -13.79%E -5.87%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 21:30
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -9.92%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 21:30
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.92%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 21:29
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.80%EV -10.90%E -4.01%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.04%EV -9.25%E -3.11%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 21:29
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 21:30
Unibet (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 37.70%EV -14.52%E -6.23%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.77%EV -9.86%E -3.34%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-22 21:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -15.62%E -6.79%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -9.86%E -3.34%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-22 21:29
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 36.88%EV -13.79%E -5.87%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.71%EV -13.19%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.41%EV -12.91%E -4.53%K -6.98%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-22 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.40%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.30%EV -13.85%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.30%EV -19.64%E -7.47%K -12.05%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-22 21:30
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -14.83%E -5.70%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-22 21:30
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.31%EV -15.62%E -6.79%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.75%EV -16.47%E -6.46%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.93%EV -17.50%E -6.48%K -10.29%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-22 21:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-03-22 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-03-22 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.64%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-03-22 21:30
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%1.6%2026-03-22 21:30
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%1.8%2026-03-22 21:30
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.02%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09%3.1%2026-03-22 21:30