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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Vitoria v Bragantino-SP

2026-11-19 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vitoria (主队)

预测 35.09%2.85公平赔率
EV -1.41%
优势 -0.500%
Kelly -0.777%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.81

博彩公司预测分布
34.05%35.09%35.24%38.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.542.602.8146.51%39.32%38.46%35.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bragantino-SP (客队)

预测 37.16%2.69公平赔率
EV -2.28%
优势 -0.865%
Kelly -1.40%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.63

博彩公司预测分布
34.45%37.12%37.06%37.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.382.502.502.6342.02%40.01%40.00%38.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.76%3.60公平赔率
EV -3.41%
优势 -0.980%
Kelly -1.38%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.48

博彩公司预测分布
26.44%27.78%27.70%28.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.313.303.4832.79%30.25%30.30%28.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Vitoria (主队)：35.09%；Bragantino-SP (客队)：37.16%；平局：27.76%。 对于“Vitoria (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.85。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.81，期望值为-1.41%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.05%EV -1.41%E -0.500%K -0.777%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.97%EV -6.36%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.98%EV -5.08%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-07 21:25
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -3.51%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-07 20:56
1xBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.26%EV -4.56%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -4.13%E -1.60%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.56%EV -3.41%E -0.980%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-07 20:14
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -4.56%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -8.96%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-07 20:59
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -8.96%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-07 20:59
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -7.02%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -4.24%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-07 21:00
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.02%E -2.65%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.63%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-07 20:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.25%EV -7.37%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -6.19%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-07 20:14
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.39%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.63%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-07 21:00
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-07 20:45
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-07 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-07 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.77%E -3.37%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.11%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.79%E -3.01%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-07 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.53%E -4.13%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.96%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-07 20:59
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -12.28%E -4.91%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.96%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-07 21:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -12.99%E -5.24%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -2.28%E -0.865%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -6.19%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-07 20:25
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -14.04%E -5.73%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -5.25%E -2.06%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.63%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-07 21:00
picklebet_au🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -14.04%E -5.73%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -3.39%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-07 20:25
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -14.04%E -5.73%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.51%EV -11.56%E -4.86%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%15.1%2026-11-07 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -19.30%E -8.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -8.96%E -3.66%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.65%G +0.000%14.6%2026-11-07 20:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 38.00%EV -20.35%E -8.97%K -16.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 34.78%EV -7.85%E -3.16%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.21%EV -12.01%E -3.79%K -5.54%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-07 20:23
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.87%EV -21.05%E -9.36%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -10.82%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.63%EV -11.18%E -3.49%K -5.08%G +0.000%17.4%2026-11-07 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.45%EV -24.56%E -11.42%K -21.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.45%EV -10.82%E -4.51%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.10%EV -15.35%E -5.03%K -7.49%G +0.000%21.0%2026-11-07 20:25
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.75%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.73%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.52%3.5%2026-11-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.30%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%4.9%2026-11-08 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.30%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%4.9%2026-11-08 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.30%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%4.9%2026-11-08 11:25
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 34.84%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.30%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%7.9%2026-11-08 11:50

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