默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vitoria v Botafogo

2026-08-16 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vitoria (主队)

预测 39.54%2.53公平赔率
EV -3.13%
优势 -1.28%
Kelly -2.16%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
38.24%39.55%39.54%41.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.082.312.332.4548.08%43.37%42.83%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Botafogo (客队)

预测 31.94%3.13公平赔率
EV -2.89%
优势 -0.952%
Kelly -1.42%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.04

博彩公司预测分布
30.41%31.95%31.81%33.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.872.903.0438.46%34.83%34.48%32.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.52%3.51公平赔率
EV -3.04%
优势 -0.893%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
27.54%28.50%28.65%29.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.213.233.4033.33%31.18%31.01%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Vitoria (主队):39.54%;Botafogo (客队):31.94%;平局:28.52%。 对于“Botafogo (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.13。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.04,期望值为-2.89%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -3.13%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:04
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.71%EV -4.32%E -1.78%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.61%EV -2.89%E -0.952%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 14:20
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.96%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:04
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.04%E -0.893%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 13:07
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -5.11%E -2.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.46%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 13:04
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 13:35
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 13:34
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 13:35
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.90%E -2.48%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.37%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 13:35
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.77%E -1.96%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 14:15
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.27%E -3.56%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 16:40
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.27%E -3.56%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -4.81%E -1.61%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 16:40
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.06%E -3.94%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -13.76%E -5.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 13:09
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 40.84%EV -10.64%E -4.71%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -4.17%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.31%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 13:05
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -11.04%E -4.91%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.17%E -1.39%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 13:04
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24%EV -11.04%E -4.91%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -16.95%E -6.52%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -14.44%E -4.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-02 13:09
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -14.99%E -6.97%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -10.56%E -3.77%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -8.74%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 13:05
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -14.99%E -6.97%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -8.96%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -13.02%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-02 13:04
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -16.97%E -8.08%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -12.16%E -4.42%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -11.59%E -3.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-02 13:05
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 41.37%EV -17.76%E -8.54%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 30.41%EV -9.60%E -3.39%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.22%EV -13.02%E -4.27%K -6.35%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-02 13:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。