مدرسة الاحتمالات

Vasco da Gama v Sao Paulo

البداية: 2026-04-18 21:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Vasco da Gama 2–1 Sao Paulo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Vasco da Gama (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.11%2.27السعر العادل
EV +2.79%
الأفضلية +1.20%
Kelly +2.10%
النمو +0.058%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.33%44.02%44.08%45.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.142.132.3350.00%46.76%46.95%42.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sao Paulo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.58%3.76السعر العادل
EV +1.55%
الأفضلية +0.405%
Kelly +0.548%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.06%26.69%26.52%28.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.433.403.8231.75%29.12%29.41%26.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.30%3.41السعر العادل
EV -0.957%
الأفضلية -0.283%
Kelly -0.402%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.44%29.29%29.40%30.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.163.153.3835.71%31.69%31.75%29.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.45%EV +2.79%E +1.20%K +2.10%G +0.058%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.83%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 21:15
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 41.45%EV +2.79%E +1.20%K +2.10%G +0.058%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.83%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 21:15
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -0.743%E -0.330%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 21:15
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -0.743%E -0.330%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 21:15
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -0.743%E -0.330%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 21:15
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -0.743%E -0.330%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 21:15
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -0.743%E -0.330%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 21:15
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -0.743%E -0.330%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 21:15
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -0.743%E -0.330%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -1.62%E -0.729%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -14.94%E -4.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 21:15
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.68%EV -2.07%E -0.931%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -0.957%E -0.283%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 21:25
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 21:10
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -14.94%E -4.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 21:15
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -16.26%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -10.63%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 21:15
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -2.95%E -1.34%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -16.26%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -10.63%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 21:15
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 43.46%EV -3.83%E -1.76%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.84%EV -6.16%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.70%EV -6.52%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 21:20
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.66%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -16.26%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -10.63%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 21:15
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.66%EV -4.27%E -1.97%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -16.26%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.64%EV -10.63%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 21:15
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.96%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.30%EV +1.55%E +0.405%K +0.548%G +0.008%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 21:25
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.30%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 21:20
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 21:15
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 21:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 21:15
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 21:15
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 21:19
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.15%E -2.40%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 21:25
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.02%EV -5.60%E -2.61%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 21:25
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -6.48%E -3.06%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 21:20
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -6.48%E -3.06%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 21:20
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.36%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV +1.01%E +0.267%K +0.362%G +0.004%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.58%EV -5.64%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 21:20
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.36%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV +1.01%E +0.267%K +0.362%G +0.004%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.58%EV -5.64%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 21:20
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 45.36%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV +1.01%E +0.267%K +0.362%G +0.004%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.58%EV -5.64%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 21:20
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -1.64%E -0.444%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 21:25
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -1.64%E -0.444%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 21:17
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -1.64%E -0.444%K -0.609%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 21:19
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.30%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 21:18
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.30%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 21:25
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -2.97%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 21:20
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.42%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -4.83%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.52%EV -7.40%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 21:20
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 21:20
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 21:20
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 21:20
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 21:20
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 21:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 21:18
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.50%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 21:25
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 21:18
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.57%E -4.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 21:25
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.30%EV -10.89%E -5.39%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.55%EV -10.42%E -3.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.15%EV -10.04%E -3.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 21:24
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.77%E -5.89%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 21:24
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.77%E -5.89%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 21:25
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.77%E -5.89%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 21:25
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85%EV -11.77%E -5.89%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -14.94%E -4.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -10.63%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -11.77%E -5.89%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -14.94%E -4.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -17.95%E -6.41%K -9.97%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-18 21:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.80%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.80%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-04-18 21:25
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%1.1%2026-04-18 21:20
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.6%2026-04-18 21:25