La escuela de los momios

Santos v Remo

Inicio: 2026-04-02 22:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Santos (Local)

Predicción 56.96%1.76momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -4.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.36%56.93%56.99%58.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.631.641.7064.10%61.21%60.98%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Remo (Visitante)

Predicción 17.56%5.70momio equitativo
EV +8.33%
Ventaja +1.35%
Kelly +1.61%
Crecimiento +0.134%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.74%17.53%17.54%19.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.355.406.1722.22%18.70%18.52%16.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.48%3.92momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.426%
Kelly -0.575%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.45%25.54%25.47%26.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.633.653.8631.25%27.55%27.40%25.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.74%EV +8.33%E +1.35%K +1.61%G +0.134%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.76%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-02 21:50
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.15%EV +4.82%E +0.807%K +0.969%G +0.047%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.78%EV -4.70%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 21:50
BetUS1.63I 61.35%NM 57.60%EV -7.15%E -4.39%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV +0.953%E +0.166%K +0.201%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.87%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.66%EV +0.602%E +0.105%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -4.45%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 21:25
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.87%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.66%EV +0.602%E +0.105%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -4.45%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 21:25
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.87%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.66%EV +0.602%E +0.105%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -4.45%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 21:25
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.69%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.86%EV -0.802%E -0.142%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 21:40
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.92%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV -1.68%E -0.300%K -0.365%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.80%EV -4.45%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-02 21:44
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.92%EV -3.16%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV -1.68%E -0.300%K -0.365%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.80%EV -4.45%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-02 21:44
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.90%EV -7.72%E -4.77%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -1.68%E -0.300%K -0.365%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 21:28
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -8.29%E -5.15%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 16.94%EV -2.21%E -0.396%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.45%EV -1.64%E -0.426%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 21:50
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.37%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -3.17%E -0.835%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 21:50
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 21:29
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.28%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 21:24
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.08%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 21:35
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.08%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 21:35
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.08%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 21:35
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.08%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 21:35
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.08%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 21:35
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.08%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 21:35
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 21:10
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -8.86%E -5.54%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 21:25
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.72%E -4.77%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 21:54
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.29%E -5.15%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-02 21:50
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.29%E -5.15%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-02 21:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.29%E -5.15%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-02 21:50
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.04%EV -6.58%E -4.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.19%E -0.961%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.72%E -4.77%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -5.19%E -0.961%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 21:35
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -8.29%E -5.15%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -5.19%E -0.961%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-02 21:45
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -6.58%E -4.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.42%EV -6.07%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.76%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 21:53
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.86%E -5.54%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -6.95%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-02 21:35
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.86%E -5.54%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -6.95%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -9.54%E -2.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-02 21:35
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -3.17%E -0.835%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 21:54
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -3.17%E -0.835%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.45%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 21:55
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.45%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 21:53
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.45%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 21:25
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 21:50
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.72%E -4.77%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 21:29
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.72%E -4.77%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 21:49
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.72%E -4.77%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 21:49
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.82%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-02 21:35
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.82%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-02 21:35
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -8.70%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -6.58%E -4.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -8.70%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 21:55
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -6.58%E -4.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -8.70%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 21:55
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.92%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -12.21%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.27%E -2.30%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 21:24
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.72%E -4.77%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -12.21%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.82%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-02 21:55
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.86%E -5.54%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -12.21%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.82%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-02 21:29
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.86%E -5.54%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -12.21%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.36%E -3.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-02 21:14
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -13.09%E -2.64%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 21:09
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.30%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -13.09%E -2.64%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 21:10
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.48%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.03%EV -13.09%E -2.64%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.82%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-02 21:35
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.48%EV -10.00%E -6.33%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.03%EV -13.09%E -2.64%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.82%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-02 21:33
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.72%E -4.77%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -5.72%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 21:25
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.03%EV -11.14%E -7.14%K -19.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.00%EV -19.24%E -4.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -10.82%E -3.09%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-02 21:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -10.57%E -6.73%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -20.99%E -4.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -18.46%E -5.77%K -8.39%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-02 21:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 58.19%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.14%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.66%-0.1%2026-04-02 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29%0.1%2026-04-02 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.88%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-04-02 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.88%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-04-02 21:25
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.61%1.4%2026-04-02 21:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.33%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%3.2%2026-04-02 21:25