La scuola delle quote

Santos v Bragantino-SP

Inizio: 2026-05-10 21:30 UTC

Finale: Santos 2–0 Bragantino-SP

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Santos (Casa)

Previsione 43.91%2.28quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -0.935%
Kelly -1.70%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.35%43.96%43.94%45.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.982.122.152.2350.51%47.07%46.51%44.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bragantino-SP (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.86%3.59quota equa
EV +1.97%
Vantaggio +0.538%
Kelly +0.741%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.52%27.88%27.83%29.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.343.353.6633.33%29.96%29.85%27.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.23%3.54quota equa
EV -1.75%
Vantaggio -0.504%
Kelly -0.708%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.40%28.17%28.23%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.273.273.4834.72%30.60%30.58%28.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.58%EV -6.48%E -3.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.52%EV +1.97%E +0.538%K +0.741%G +0.015%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.90%EV -1.75%E -0.504%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 21:24
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.66%EV -6.48%E -3.04%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.95%EV -1.65%E -0.468%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 21:14
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.43%EV -2.09%E -0.935%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.67%EV -2.49%E -0.711%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 21:24
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.43%EV -2.09%E -0.935%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.67%EV -2.49%E -0.711%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 21:24
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.49%E -0.711%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 21:10
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.49%E -0.711%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 21:09
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.49%E -0.711%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 21:14
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.49%E -0.711%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 21:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -2.49%E -0.711%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.84%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 20:49
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -3.40%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.97%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -2.60%E -0.754%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 21:15
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -6.92%E -3.26%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -3.88%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 20:49
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.56%EV -5.00%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.74%EV -7.68%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 21:09
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 21:09
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 21:09
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.84%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 21:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.84%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.84%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 21:09
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -4.72%E -2.17%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 21:24
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -4.72%E -2.17%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 21:24
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -4.72%E -2.17%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 21:24
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -4.72%E -2.17%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 21:24
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -4.72%E -2.17%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 21:24
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -4.72%E -2.17%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 21:24
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.27%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.84%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 21:14
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.99%EV -6.92%E -3.26%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -6.39%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.84%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 21:23
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 21:14
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -6.04%E -2.82%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 21:23
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.84%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 21:09
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 21:09
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.92%E -3.26%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.34%EV -6.04%E -2.82%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -6.67%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 21:24
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.84%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 21:24
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.84%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 21:19
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.84%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 21:19
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -6.92%E -3.26%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 21:24
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -6.92%E -3.26%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 21:24
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 21:14
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 21:14
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 21:14
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 21:14
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -11.07%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 21:24
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.06%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -11.07%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 21:24
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 21:13
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.28%E -1.96%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 21:14
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -9.99%E -4.87%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 21:14
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -9.11%E -4.40%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 21:24
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -9.11%E -4.40%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.45%E -2.91%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 21:24
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 21:19
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 21:19
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -5.60%E -2.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.84%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 21:19
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.79%E -3.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.84%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 21:19
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.99%E -4.87%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -6.84%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 21:10
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -9.99%E -4.87%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-10 21:04
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.96%EV -10.87%E -5.35%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.15%EV -10.51%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-10 21:15
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.99%E -4.87%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.85%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 21:13
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 43.91%EV -13.06%E -6.60%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.05%EV -13.63%E -4.40%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.05%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-10 21:09
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85%EV -12.18%E -6.09%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -15.03%E -4.93%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-10 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -12.18%E -6.09%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -16.42%E -5.47%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.69%E -6.49%K -9.94%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-10 21:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-10 21:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-10 21:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-10 21:24
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-10 21:24
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.1%2026-05-10 21:24
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07%1.8%2026-05-10 21:25