La escuela de los momios

Remo v Fluminense

Inicio: 2026-03-12 22:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Remo (Local)

Predicción 23.97%4.17momio equitativo
EV +6.69%
Ventaja +1.50%
Kelly +1.94%
Crecimiento +0.130%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.39%23.82%24.04%26.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.953.904.4528.57%25.31%25.64%22.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Fluminense (Visitante)

Predicción 49.41%2.02momio equitativo
EV -3.65%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -3.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.00%49.64%49.36%52.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.851.851.9558.82%54.05%54.05%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.62%3.76momio equitativo
EV +2.47%
Ventaja +0.642%
Kelly +0.867%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.68%26.54%26.60%29.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.503.503.8534.72%28.58%28.57%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.39%EV +6.69%E +1.50%K +1.94%G +0.130%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -11.06%E -6.15%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -1.52%E -0.411%K -0.563%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 20:55
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.17%EV +4.29%E +0.986%K +1.28%G +0.055%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.12%EV -8.59%E -4.64%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV -0.190%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 21:50
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 22.17%EV +4.29%E +0.986%K +1.28%G +0.055%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.12%EV -8.59%E -4.64%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV -0.190%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 21:50
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV +3.09%E +0.719%K +0.937%G +0.029%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.98%EV -7.60%E -4.07%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -5.51%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 21:15
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV +3.09%E +0.719%K +0.937%G +0.029%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.98%EV -7.60%E -4.07%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -5.51%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 21:15
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV +1.89%E +0.445%K +0.582%G +0.011%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.17%EV -11.06%E -6.15%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -2.85%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 21:50
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV +1.89%E +0.445%K +0.582%G +0.011%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.17%EV -11.06%E -6.15%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -2.85%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 21:50
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV +1.89%E +0.445%K +0.582%G +0.011%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.17%EV -11.06%E -6.15%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -2.85%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 21:50
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV +1.89%E +0.445%K +0.582%G +0.011%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.17%EV -11.06%E -6.15%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -2.85%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 21:50
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV +1.89%E +0.445%K +0.582%G +0.011%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.17%EV -11.06%E -6.15%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -2.85%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 21:50
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV +1.89%E +0.445%K +0.582%G +0.011%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.17%EV -11.06%E -6.15%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -2.85%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 21:50
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +1.89%E +0.445%K +0.582%G +0.011%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -11.06%E -6.15%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV +0.694%E +0.165%K +0.217%G +0.002%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -12.05%E -6.77%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 21:50
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV +0.694%E +0.165%K +0.217%G +0.002%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%EV -12.55%E -7.09%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -5.51%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 21:50
1xBet4.16I 24.04%NM 22.84%EV -0.265%E -0.064%K -0.084%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -10.57%E -5.84%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV +2.47%E +0.642%K +0.867%G +0.021%5.3%2026-03-12 21:50
Pinnacle4.14I 24.15%NM 23.32%EV -0.745%E -0.180%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.02%EV -4.64%E -2.40%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.67%EV -3.65%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 21:45
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -1.70%E -0.416%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.04%EV -14.03%E -8.06%K -18.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-12 21:50
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -1.70%E -0.416%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.19%EV -14.52%E -8.39%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-12 21:50
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -1.70%E -0.416%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.19%EV -14.52%E -8.39%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-12 21:50
GTbets4.03I 24.81%NM 23.48%EV -3.38%E -0.839%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.80%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.73%EV -5.78%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 21:35
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -4.10%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -3.65%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 21:34
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.10%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 21:49
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -4.10%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 21:45
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.10%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 21:40
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.10%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -8.59%E -4.64%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 21:45
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -4.10%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -9.58%E -5.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-12 21:40
BetUS3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.30%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -5.13%E -2.67%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 21:55
BetAnything3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.30%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -5.13%E -2.67%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 21:55
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -6.02%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.11%E -3.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.50%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.63%E -2.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 21:15
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.50%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.63%E -2.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 21:15
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.50%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.63%E -2.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 21:15
Codere (IT)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -6.50%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.18%EV -5.13%E -2.67%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.51%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 21:45
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.50%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.63%E -2.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 21:43
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.50%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.63%E -2.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 21:45
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.50%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -7.11%E -3.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 21:50
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.50%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -7.11%E -3.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 21:45
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.64%EV -3.65%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -5.51%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 21:55
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -6.12%E -3.22%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 21:15
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -7.11%E -3.78%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 21:45
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.58%E -5.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-12 21:40
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -5.13%E -2.67%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 21:50
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.59%E -4.64%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-12 21:50
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.59%E -4.64%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-12 21:50
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.59%E -4.64%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-12 21:50
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.59%E -4.64%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-12 21:50
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.58%E -5.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 21:45
Fliff3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.06%E -6.15%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.51%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-12 21:40
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -9.58%E -5.24%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -14.83%E -4.63%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-12 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -14.52%E -8.39%K -19.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -23.35%E -8.11%K -12.42%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-12 21:40
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.29%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.13%E -2.67%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 21:50
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.29%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.13%E -2.67%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-12 21:50
Betclic (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.29%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.27%EV -10.57%E -5.84%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -10.84%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 21:50
Parions Sport (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -11.29%E -3.05%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -11.06%E -6.15%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-12 21:45
Unibet (FR)3.68I 27.17%NM 23.88%EV -11.77%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.65%EV -12.55%E -7.09%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.47%EV -11.64%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-12 21:50
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -12.49%E -3.42%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -8.10%E -4.35%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-12 21:45
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -13.69%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.65%E -1.87%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 21:55
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -16.09%E -4.60%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -11.06%E -6.15%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -10.84%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-12 21:45
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 23.77%EV -16.09%E -4.60%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 48.95%EV -16.00%E -9.41%K -22.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.28%EV -18.82%E -6.17%K -9.18%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-12 21:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35%0.2%2026-03-12 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.35%0.2%2026-03-12 21:55
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%0.3%2026-03-12 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-03-12 21:45
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%1.6%2026-03-12 21:55
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-03-12 21:55