La escuela de los momios

Remo v Cruzeiro

Inicio: 2026-04-25 21:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Remo (Local)

Predicción 27.77%3.60momio equitativo
EV +0.539%
Ventaja +0.149%
Kelly +0.206%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.31%27.71%27.76%28.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.373.403.6233.33%29.69%29.41%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cruzeiro (Visitante)

Predicción 44.46%2.25momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -2.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.71%44.46%44.53%46.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.082.102.1851.02%48.01%47.62%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.76%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -0.807%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.81%27.83%27.72%29.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.333.353.5034.72%30.07%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag3.62I 27.62%NM 26.31%EV +0.539%E +0.149%K +0.206%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.47%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -2.82%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 17:50
LowVig.ag3.62I 27.62%NM 26.31%EV +0.539%E +0.149%K +0.206%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.47%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -2.82%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 17:49
BetAnything3.62I 27.62%NM 26.31%EV +0.539%E +0.149%K +0.206%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.47%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -2.82%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:54
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV -0.017%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-21 12:55
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV -0.017%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%EV -4.21%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-21 12:55
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.79%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.82%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:13
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.79%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.82%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 12:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.79%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.79%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 02:04
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.79%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 02:05
GTbets3.47I 28.82%NM 27.48%EV -3.63%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.96%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 02:14
1xBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -3.91%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -5.04%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 07:39
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 12:55
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 12:55
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 12:55
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 12:55
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 12:54
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 12:55
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 12:55
Pinnacle3.42I 29.24%NM 27.86%EV -5.02%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.11%EV -3.96%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:10
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.82%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 09:29
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.82%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:29
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.82%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:28
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.74%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:34
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 08:08
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 07:39
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 07:33
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.15%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 07:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -7.96%E -3.85%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 12:55
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.65%EV -8.41%E -4.08%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 12:55
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -6.19%E -2.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.82%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 07:34
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 11:59
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.91%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 12:04
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 20:15
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -9.30%E -4.56%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.15%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 12:55
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -9.30%E -4.56%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.15%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 12:55
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 07:34
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 07:40
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:30
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 20:14
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:10
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -11.08%E -5.54%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 09:30
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.93%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 07:34
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.93%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 07:34
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.93%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 07:35
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.93%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 07:34
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -10.19%E -5.04%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.15%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 08:39
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -10.19%E -5.04%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.15%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 08:39
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -3.07%E -1.41%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 07:34
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -3.07%E -1.41%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 07:34
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -5.60%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 09:29
Betclic (FR)3.22I 31.06%NM 27.70%EV -10.57%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -11.08%E -5.54%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.70%EV -10.60%E -3.29%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 21:31
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -4.41%E -2.05%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 07:34
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 07:35
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.82%EV -12.41%E -6.30%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -11.15%E -3.49%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 21:34
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -12.51%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -11.08%E -5.54%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.38%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 07:40
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.08%E -5.54%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -9.76%E -3.00%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 09:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -13.90%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -11.08%E -5.54%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -20.04%E -6.96%K -10.66%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 09:29
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -16.68%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 43.95%EV -12.85%E -6.56%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.34%EV -12.54%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 07:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.45%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.89%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.66%2.6%2026-04-23 21:35
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.0%2026-04-24 00:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%3.5%2026-04-23 21:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%3.5%2026-04-23 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.76%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%3.9%2026-04-23 15:50
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%4.7%2026-04-23 23:29