Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Remo v Atletico Paranaense

Inicio: 2026-05-24 19:00 UTC

Final: Remo 1–2 Atletico Paranaense

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Remo (Local)

Predicción 42.48%2.35momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.623%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.04%42.50%42.50%44.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.182.202.3250.00%45.81%45.45%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atletico Paranaense (Visitante)

Predicción 28.40%3.52momio equitativo
EV +1.97%
Ventaja +0.550%
Kelly +0.762%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.31%28.37%28.48%30.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.273.293.5933.33%30.59%30.44%27.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 29.12%3.43momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.297%
Kelly -0.420%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.20%29.13%29.02%30.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.193.203.4035.71%31.36%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Remo (Local): 42.48%; Atletico Paranaense (Visitante): 28.40%; Empate: 29.12%. Para Atletico Paranaense (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.52. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.59, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.97%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -6.12%E -2.77%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV +1.97%E +0.550%K +0.762%G +0.015%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.06%EV -2.76%E -0.825%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 18:50
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.97%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.55%EV -0.300%E -0.085%K -0.119%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.48%EV -4.50%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -12.92%E -6.30%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -0.584%E -0.167%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 18:50
Coolbet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.90%EV -5.69%E -2.56%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -2.00%E -0.581%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.49%EV -5.96%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:49
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -2.00%E -0.581%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 18:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -1.01%E -0.297%K -0.420%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -1.01%E -0.297%K -0.420%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.38%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 18:50
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:40
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 18:40
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -4.84%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 18:39
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -4.84%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.77%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -5.13%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.41%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.98%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.61%EV -5.41%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.98%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.61%EV -5.41%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:20
BetUS🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.98%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.61%EV -5.41%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:20
BetAnything🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.98%EV -3.57%E -1.57%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.61%EV -5.41%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -5.67%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.23%EV -4.84%E -2.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.38%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 18:40
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:40
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:40
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 18:40
GTbets🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.04%EV -1.45%E -0.623%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.12%EV -7.12%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.85%EV -7.12%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:50
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -7.39%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -5.38%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 18:40
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 18:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 18:30
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.79%E -5.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 18:39
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:30
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -9.09%E -4.25%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -5.38%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.94%E -4.69%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 18:40
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.94%E -4.69%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.79%E -5.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -10.79%E -5.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.53%E -3.34%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -10.79%E -5.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.53%E -3.34%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.29%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -10.79%E -5.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.58%EV -11.38%E -3.65%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.95%EV -10.33%E -3.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 18:37
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.38%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.42%E -1.96%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.38%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.38%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 18:50
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.54%E -2.97%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 18:40
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.45%EV -12.92%E -6.30%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -13.37%E -4.38%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-24 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.92%E -6.30%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-24 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -15.04%E -7.52%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -18.48%E -6.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-24 18:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-05-24 18:50
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%1.0%2026-05-24 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-24 18:50
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-05-24 18:50