默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Palmeiras v Sao Paulo

2026-09-13 20:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Palmeiras (主队)

预测 56.21%1.78公平赔率
EV -3.87%
优势 -2.26%
Kelly -5.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布
54.34%56.22%56.39%57.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.541.641.651.7164.94%61.11%60.61%58.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sao Paulo (客队)

预测 18.22%5.49公平赔率
EV -1.63%
优势 -0.302%
Kelly -0.370%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.40

博彩公司预测分布
17.13%18.19%18.17%20.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.304.894.855.4023.26%20.44%20.62%18.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.57%3.91公平赔率
EV -2.58%
优势 -0.678%
Kelly -0.920%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.81

博彩公司预测分布
23.98%25.59%25.44%26.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.613.603.8130.30%27.74%27.78%26.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Palmeiras (主队):56.21%;Sao Paulo (客队):18.22%;平局:25.57%。 对于“Sao Paulo (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.49。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为5.40,期望值为-1.63%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.13%EV -3.87%E -2.26%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.67%EV -6.36%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.19%EV -2.58%E -0.678%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 02:20
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.82%EV -5.00%E -2.96%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.36%E -0.831%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:35
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.85%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.02%EV -3.45%E -0.651%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -2.84%E -0.747%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -5.56%E -3.31%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.36%E -0.831%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 16:15
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.12%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -12.56%E -2.62%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 17:35
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.12%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -12.56%E -2.62%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.12%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -12.56%E -2.62%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.12%E -3.67%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -12.56%E -2.62%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.16%EV -6.68%E -4.03%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.91%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 02:14
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -1.63%E -0.302%K -0.370%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -7.25%E -4.39%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -1.63%E -0.302%K -0.370%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -10.74%E -2.19%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -2.84%E -0.747%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 16:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -10.74%E -2.19%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -2.84%E -0.747%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 16:14
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -7.81%E -4.76%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -13.47%E -2.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 03:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.51%EV -9.49%E -5.90%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -3.45%E -0.651%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 16:13
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.34%EV -10.06%E -6.29%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.32%EV -18.02%E -4.01%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -15.62%E -4.73%K -6.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-31 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.12%EV -12.31%E -7.89%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.90%EV -19.85%E -4.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.68%EV -12.31%E -7.89%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.20%EV -21.67%E -5.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.13%EV -7.95%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-31 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.99%EV -13.43%E -8.72%K -24.87%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.38%EV -18.93%E -4.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-31 16:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.87%EV -13.43%E -8.72%K -24.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.55%EV -19.85%E -4.51%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-31 16:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%4.76I 21.01%NM 18.94%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.07%10.9%2026-09-01 04:00