A Escola das Odds

Palmeiras v Santos

Início: 2026-05-02 21:30 UTC

Final: Palmeiras 1–1 Santos

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Palmeiras (Local)

Previsão 59.68%1.68odd justa
EV -3.32%
Vantagem -2.05%
Kelly -5.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.93%59.76%59.60%62.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.451.551.561.6268.97%64.62%64.10%61.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Santos (Visitante)

Previsão 15.63%6.40odd justa
EV +9.38%
Vantagem +1.34%
Kelly +1.56%
Crescimento +0.147%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.87%15.60%15.67%17.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.006.136.107.0020.00%16.31%16.39%14.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.70%4.05odd justa
EV +1.25%
Vantagem +0.305%
Kelly +0.403%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.54%24.64%24.73%25.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.813.804.1028.57%26.26%26.32%24.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.37%EV -6.90%E -4.42%K -12.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +9.38%E +1.34%K +1.56%G +0.147%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV +1.25%E +0.305%K +0.403%G +0.005%2.8%2026-05-02 21:25
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.37%EV -6.90%E -4.42%K -12.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +9.38%E +1.34%K +1.56%G +0.147%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73%EV +1.25%E +0.305%K +0.403%G +0.005%2.8%2026-05-02 21:25
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.11%EV -9.29%E -6.11%K -17.86%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.99%EV +5.48%E +0.811%K +0.953%G +0.052%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -2.45%E -0.621%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 21:25
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.27%EV -9.89%E -6.55%K -19.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +5.48%E +0.811%K +0.953%G +0.052%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -2.45%E -0.621%K -0.832%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 21:25
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.27%EV -9.89%E -6.55%K -19.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +5.48%E +0.811%K +0.953%G +0.052%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -2.45%E -0.621%K -0.832%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 21:25
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.27%EV -9.89%E -6.55%K -19.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +5.48%E +0.811%K +0.953%G +0.052%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -2.45%E -0.621%K -0.832%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 21:25
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.27%EV -9.89%E -6.55%K -19.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +5.48%E +0.811%K +0.953%G +0.052%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -2.45%E -0.621%K -0.832%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 21:25
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.27%EV -9.89%E -6.55%K -19.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.93%EV +5.48%E +0.811%K +0.953%G +0.052%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -2.45%E -0.621%K -0.832%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 21:25
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.42%EV -10.48%E -6.99%K -20.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV +5.48%E +0.811%K +0.953%G +0.052%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -2.45%E -0.621%K -0.832%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 21:22
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.03%EV -5.71%E -3.61%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.56%EV +3.45%E +0.520%K +0.613%G +0.021%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.41%EV -2.45%E -0.621%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 21:20
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.95%EV -3.32%E -2.05%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.83%EV +2.35%E +0.359%K +0.424%G +0.010%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -4.92%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 21:25
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.28%EV -5.71%E -3.61%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.65%EV +1.57%E +0.242%K +0.286%G +0.004%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 20:29
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -6.30%E -4.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV +1.57%E +0.242%K +0.286%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -4.92%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 21:00
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -6.30%E -4.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV +1.57%E +0.242%K +0.286%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -4.92%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 20:55
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 60.63%EV -6.30%E -4.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.64%EV +1.57%E +0.242%K +0.286%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -4.92%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 21:00
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV +1.57%E +0.242%K +0.286%G +0.004%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 21:10
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV +1.57%E +0.242%K +0.286%G +0.004%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 21:20
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -8.69%E -5.68%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.57%E +0.242%K +0.286%G +0.004%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.06%EV -11.08%E -7.44%K -22.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV +1.57%E +0.242%K +0.286%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -3.69%E -0.946%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 21:25
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.22%EV -11.68%E -7.89%K -24.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +1.57%E +0.242%K +0.286%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -3.69%E -0.946%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 21:25
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.51%EV -13.47%E -9.29%K -29.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV +1.57%E +0.242%K +0.286%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -4.92%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 21:25
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 62.51%EV -13.47%E -9.29%K -29.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV +1.57%E +0.242%K +0.286%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -4.92%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 21:25
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.18%EV -13.47%E -9.29%K -29.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV +0.008%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 21:25
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.18%EV -13.47%E -9.29%K -29.92%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV +0.008%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 21:25
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.90%E -4.42%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV -2.34%E -0.374%K -0.445%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 20:58
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.90%E -4.42%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV -2.34%E -0.374%K -0.445%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 21:10
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -2.34%E -0.374%K -0.445%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.39%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 20:45
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.32%E -2.05%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.47%EV -2.80%E -0.451%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.13%EV -5.42%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 21:25
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.39%EV -9.29%E -6.11%K -17.86%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -3.12%E -0.503%K -0.599%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 20:55
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.90%EV -6.30%E -4.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.67%EV -6.24%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -4.92%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:50
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -6.30%E -4.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.24%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 20:50
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -6.30%E -4.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.24%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.39%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 21:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -10.48%E -6.99%K -20.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.24%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 21:10
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -6.30%E -4.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.67%EV -7.02%E -1.18%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -7.64%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 21:25
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.81%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -2.45%E -0.621%K -0.832%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 21:05
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -7.81%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -2.45%E -0.621%K -0.832%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 21:25
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.93%EV -4.51%E -2.82%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.26%EV -9.37%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 21:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -6.30%E -4.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.37%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 21:10
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.07%EV -3.92%E -2.43%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -10.15%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -3.69%E -0.946%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -4.51%E -2.82%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -10.15%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.69%E -0.946%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 20:50
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.22%EV -4.51%E -2.82%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -10.15%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.69%E -0.946%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 20:50
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -4.51%E -2.82%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -10.15%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 21:14
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.71%E -3.61%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -10.15%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.39%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 21:15
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.76%EV -5.71%E -3.61%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -10.15%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.63%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 20:25
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -6.30%E -4.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.15%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.39%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 21:15
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -7.50%E -4.84%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -10.15%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -4.92%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 21:25
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -6.30%E -4.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.15%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 21:10
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -6.30%E -4.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.15%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 21:10
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -6.30%E -4.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -10.15%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 21:10
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -10.48%E -6.99%K -20.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -10.15%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -13.57%E -3.88%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.90%EV -5.71%E -3.61%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.62%EV -12.49%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 20:50
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.90%EV -5.71%E -3.61%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.62%EV -12.49%E -2.23%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -6.16%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 20:50
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.30%E -4.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -14.06%E -2.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.39%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 21:15
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -6.30%E -4.02%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -14.06%E -2.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.39%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 21:20
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.87%EV -9.29%E -6.11%K -17.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -14.06%E -2.56%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 21:15
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.61%EV -9.29%E -6.11%K -17.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -15.62%E -2.89%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.89%EV -11.59%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 21:17
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.47%EV -6.90%E -4.42%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -17.18%E -3.24%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -7.39%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 21:15
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.93%EV -9.29%E -6.11%K -17.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -21.87%E -4.37%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -11.10%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 21:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.96%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.6%2026-05-02 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.96%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.6%2026-05-02 21:25
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-05-02 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.11%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-05-02 21:25
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.45%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.72%1.1%2026-05-02 21:10
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.00%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-05-02 21:25