默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Palmeiras v Bragantino-SP

2026-10-24 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Palmeiras (主队)

预测 60.19%1.66公平赔率
EV -4.30%
优势 -2.71%
Kelly -7.29%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.59

博彩公司预测分布
57.72%60.14%60.33%61.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.411.531.541.5970.92%65.51%64.94%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bragantino-SP (客队)

预测 16.24%6.16公平赔率
EV -2.87%
优势 -0.481%
Kelly -0.577%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.98

博彩公司预测分布
15.80%16.31%16.14%18.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.495.505.9821.05%18.22%18.18%16.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.57%4.24公平赔率
EV -3.36%
优势 -0.819%
Kelly -1.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.10

博彩公司预测分布
22.46%23.55%23.53%24.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.833.754.1027.78%26.11%26.67%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Palmeiras (主队):60.19%;Bragantino-SP (客队):16.24%;平局:23.57%。 对于“Bragantino-SP (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.16。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为5.98,期望值为-2.87%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.40%EV -4.30%E -2.71%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 16.06%EV -2.87%E -0.481%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.54%EV -3.83%E -0.939%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-13 14:58
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -6.61%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -3.36%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 14:59
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.67%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.61%E -3.10%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-13 16:14
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.67%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.61%E -3.10%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-13 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.67%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.61%E -3.10%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-13 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.67%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -11.61%E -3.10%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-13 16:14
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -5.80%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -3.36%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-13 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.31%E -4.75%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -5.80%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -6.89%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 14:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.04%EV -7.31%E -4.75%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -5.80%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.25%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-13 14:19
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -7.91%E -5.17%K -14.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.35%EV -9.05%E -1.62%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -9.25%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-13 15:09
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.39%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -7.42%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -3.36%E -0.819%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-13 14:53
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -18.79%E -3.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.43%E -2.74%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-13 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.72%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.23%EV -22.85%E -4.81%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.05%EV -15.14%E -4.21%K -5.82%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-13 15:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.83%EV -10.92%E -7.38%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -10.67%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.06%EV -13.26%E -3.60%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-13 14:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.55%EV -10.92%E -7.38%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.95%EV -15.54%E -2.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -11.61%E -3.10%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-13 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 58.94%EV -11.52%E -7.84%K -24.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.33%EV -18.79%E -3.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.74%EV -13.97%E -3.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-13 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 60.50%EV -15.14%E -10.73%K -36.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.80%EV -12.29%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -15.14%E -4.21%K -5.82%G +0.000%17.2%2026-10-13 14:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%4.88I 20.49%NM 18.82%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.17%8.9%2026-10-13 20:54
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 58.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.48%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.84%16.7%2026-10-13 14:20