La escuela de los momios

Mirassol v Remo

2026-07-29 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mirassol (Local)

Predicción 55.08%1.82momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -4.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.40%55.11%55.10%56.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.681.701.7664.10%59.54%58.82%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Remo (Visitante)

Predicción 18.77%5.33momio equitativo
EV +5.12%
Ventaja +0.914%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.057%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.26%18.75%18.77%20.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.305.025.005.6023.26%19.91%20.00%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.15%3.82momio equitativo
EV -0.647%
Ventaja -0.170%
Kelly -0.231%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.95%26.14%26.13%27.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.553.603.8030.77%28.15%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%EV -5.81%E -3.40%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34%EV +5.12%E +0.914%K +1.11%G +0.057%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.95%E -0.521%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 02:45
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.77%EV -5.81%E -3.40%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.34%EV +5.12%E +0.914%K +1.11%G +0.057%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.95%E -0.521%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-25 02:45
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.75%EV -8.56%E -5.16%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV +1.37%E +0.253%K +0.310%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 02:45
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.75%EV -8.56%E -5.16%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV +1.37%E +0.253%K +0.310%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 02:45
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.75%EV -8.56%E -5.16%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV +1.37%E +0.253%K +0.310%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 02:45
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.75%EV -8.56%E -5.16%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV +1.37%E +0.253%K +0.310%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 02:45
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.75%EV -8.56%E -5.16%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV +1.37%E +0.253%K +0.310%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 02:44
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.75%EV -8.56%E -5.16%K -12.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV +1.37%E +0.253%K +0.310%G +0.004%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 02:45
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -9.11%E -5.52%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV +1.37%E +0.253%K +0.310%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 02:44
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -9.66%E -5.89%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV +1.37%E +0.253%K +0.310%G +0.004%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.60%EV -10.21%E -6.27%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -0.512%E -0.097%K -0.119%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 02:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -1.45%E -0.276%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 15:09
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.53%EV -5.81%E -3.40%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -1.45%E -0.276%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 15:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -1.45%E -0.276%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 22:35
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -11.32%E -7.03%K -18.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -1.45%E -0.276%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 02:45
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -11.32%E -7.03%K -18.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -1.45%E -0.276%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 02:45
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -11.32%E -7.03%K -18.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -1.45%E -0.276%K -0.341%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 02:45
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.29%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29%EV -2.39%E -0.459%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.29%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29%EV -2.39%E -0.459%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:20
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.63%EV -5.81%E -3.40%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -3.26%E -0.881%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 15:09
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.01%E -4.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 15:08
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.33%EV -4.71%E -2.72%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -1.95%E -0.521%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 15:10
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.80%EV -4.16%E -2.39%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 04:19
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -6.91%E -4.09%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -0.647%E -0.170%K -0.231%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-23 15:23
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-23 15:09
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 14:15
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-23 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-23 15:10
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 17:48
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -8.01%E -4.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 23:39
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.54%EV -3.05%E -1.74%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.24%EV -6.33%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.23%EV -4.31%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 21:35
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.45%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.93%EV -6.52%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.62%EV -3.78%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 15:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -7.08%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 02:50
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.17%EV -5.26%E -3.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.82%EV -7.08%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 02:50
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -5.81%E -3.40%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.24%EV -8.96%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -6.92%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 21:30
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.94%EV -8.96%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 11:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 15:10
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 17:05
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 17:05
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 17:04
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 17:04
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.64%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-24 22:50
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 54.30%EV -5.81%E -3.40%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 15:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -8.01%E -4.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 22:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -8.01%E -4.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 08:15
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.27%EV -12.42%E -7.81%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.50%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -12.41%E -3.71%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 06:45
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.27%EV -12.42%E -7.81%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.50%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -12.41%E -3.71%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-23 15:08
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 15:09
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.20%EV -11.87%E -7.42%K -19.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-25 14:20
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.01%E -4.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 08:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 53.40%EV -10.77%E -6.65%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.98%EV -18.72%E -4.32%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.62%EV -15.03%E -4.62%K -6.68%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-23 15:10
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.27%EV -14.07%E -9.02%K -25.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.69%EV -19.28%E -4.48%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.05%EV -15.03%E -4.62%K -6.68%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-25 14:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%13.7%2026-07-23 22:35