La escuela de los momios

Internacional v Flamengo

2026-07-29 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Internacional (Local)

Predicción 26.48%3.78momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.550%
Kelly -0.754%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.73%26.55%26.42%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.503.503.7031.75%28.55%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Flamengo (Visitante)

Predicción 45.71%2.19momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -2.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.23%45.70%45.65%46.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.842.032.052.1254.35%49.19%48.78%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.82%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -0.755%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.67%27.75%27.93%28.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.333.353.5032.79%30.06%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -2.04%E -0.550%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72%EV -3.10%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 09:40
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -2.04%E -0.550%K -0.754%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.72%EV -3.10%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.09%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 09:40
LowVig.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.36%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.96%EV -5.39%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:15
BetOnline.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.36%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.96%EV -5.39%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:15
GTbets3.63I 27.55%NM 26.02%EV -3.89%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.62%EV -5.39%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.36%EV -7.37%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 15:05
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -2.64%E -0.755%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 00:04
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -2.64%E -0.755%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 15:04
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 01:45
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 01:45
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 01:45
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 01:45
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 15:15
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -4.68%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -7.67%E -3.80%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 21:00
1xBet3.58I 27.93%NM 26.81%EV -5.21%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.28%EV -3.10%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.91%EV -4.31%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 16:19
Bovada3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -4.02%E -1.91%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 01:43
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -5.84%E -2.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.82%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 09:40
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -5.84%E -2.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.82%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 09:40
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -5.84%E -2.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.82%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 09:40
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -5.84%E -2.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.82%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 09:40
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -5.84%E -2.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.82%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 09:40
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.55%EV -5.84%E -2.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.82%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 09:40
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.82%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 09:40
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -6.76%E -3.31%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 09:40
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.64%E -0.755%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 00:04
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.59%E -4.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.64%E -0.755%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.59%E -4.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.64%E -0.755%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 01:40
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -8.59%E -4.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 21:05
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.59%E -4.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -7.67%E -3.80%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 09:40
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 15:54
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 15:53
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 15:55
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.33%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 15:55
Marathon Bet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -7.86%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.28%EV -5.84%E -2.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.09%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 16:15
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.93%E -2.37%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.82%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 09:45
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.93%E -2.37%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.82%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 09:45
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.59%E -4.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:40
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.59%E -4.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:40
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.59%E -4.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:40
betano_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 16:50
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 16:50
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.59%E -4.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 15:04
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.59%E -4.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 00:05
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -10.87%E -5.57%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -5.43%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 08:15
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -13.16%E -6.92%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.03%EV -12.94%E -4.13%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-23 16:54
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -9.98%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.05%EV -13.16%E -6.92%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 06:45
PlayUp3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.30%E -3.37%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.93%E -2.37%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.60%E -2.95%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 09:45
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.30%E -3.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 09:40
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72%EV -13.95%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.71%EV -13.16%E -6.92%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-23 16:55
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -15.27%E -4.77%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -10.87%E -5.57%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-26 00:04
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 26.70%EV -16.60%E -5.27%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 45.72%EV -15.90%E -8.64%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.58%EV -15.16%E -4.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-23 16:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%13.7%2026-07-23 16:55