La escuela de los momios

Internacional v Bahia

Inicio: 2026-03-15 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Internacional (Local)

Predicción 52.06%1.92momio equitativo
EV -0.053%
Ventaja -0.028%
Kelly -0.058%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.52%51.97%51.99%53.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.801.801.9261.73%55.60%55.56%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bahia (Visitante)

Predicción 22.44%4.46momio equitativo
EV +3.20%
Ventaja +0.696%
Kelly +0.889%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.72%22.49%22.45%24.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.064.004.6026.67%24.64%25.00%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.51%3.92momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -0.600%
Kelly -0.813%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.61%25.53%25.56%27.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.633.653.8332.26%27.59%27.40%26.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.86%EV -7.86%E -4.44%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV +3.20%E +0.696%K +0.889%G +0.028%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 18:30
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.86%EV -7.86%E -4.44%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV +3.20%E +0.696%K +0.889%G +0.028%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 18:29
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 53.86%EV -7.86%E -4.44%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV +3.20%E +0.696%K +0.889%G +0.028%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 18:30
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.53%EV -4.22%E -2.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.77%EV -0.388%E -0.087%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.70%EV -4.09%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 18:50
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.75%EV -4.22%E -2.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.91%EV -0.612%E -0.138%K -0.178%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.34%EV -2.30%E -0.600%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 18:55
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%EV -5.26%E -2.89%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -1.29%E -0.292%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 18:35
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -6.30%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.86%E -0.659%K -0.858%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 18:50
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -6.30%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.86%E -0.659%K -0.858%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 18:34
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.74%E -2.59%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -3.53%E -0.821%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 17:59
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.82%E -3.81%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -3.53%E -0.821%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 18:55
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 52.45%EV -6.82%E -3.81%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -3.53%E -0.821%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 18:55
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -7.86%E -4.44%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -3.53%E -0.821%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 18:50
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 51.66%EV -4.22%E -2.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -4.65%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.97%EV -6.64%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.30%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.30%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:30
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.30%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:40
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.30%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -8.90%E -5.09%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 17:40
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.86%EV -6.30%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.89%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.65%EV -7.15%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 18:35
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.26%E -2.89%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.89%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 18:50
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.26%E -2.89%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -6.89%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 18:50
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -4.74%E -2.59%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -8.02%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 18:25
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -6.30%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.02%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 18:34
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -6.30%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.02%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 18:50
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.37%EV -0.053%E -0.028%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -3.06%E -0.807%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 18:20
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.37%EV -0.053%E -0.028%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.45%EV -3.06%E -0.807%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 18:20
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -4.74%E -2.59%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -4.74%E -2.59%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:25
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -4.74%E -2.59%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -4.74%E -2.59%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:25
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.30%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 18:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.30%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 18:54
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.30%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 18:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.30%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 18:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.90%E -5.09%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 18:50
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.94%E -5.75%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.78%EV -12.03%E -7.12%K -17.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.92%EV -8.68%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 18:54
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.24%EV -10.99%E -6.42%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.45%EV -10.71%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -9.95%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 18:34
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -9.42%E -5.42%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -11.38%E -2.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 18:30
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -3.18%E -1.71%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 18:19
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:20
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:20
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 18:20
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -3.70%E -2.00%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 18:20
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 51.46%EV -9.42%E -5.42%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -8.90%E -5.09%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 18:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -11.51%E -6.77%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-15 18:35
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -4.74%E -2.59%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -13.62%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -4.74%E -2.59%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -13.62%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 18:20
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -4.74%E -2.59%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -14.75%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 18:40
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -5.26%E -2.89%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -14.75%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 14:25
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -5.26%E -2.89%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -14.75%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 18:20
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.74%EV -15.67%E -9.67%K -25.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.06%EV -14.75%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -18.37%E -5.74%K -8.35%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-15 18:50
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33%EV -6.30%E -3.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -15.87%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 18:20
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.61%EV -7.34%E -4.12%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -15.87%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.61%EV -7.34%E -4.12%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -15.87%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.75%EV -11.51%E -6.77%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -15.87%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -9.94%E -5.75%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -15.87%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -20.92%E -6.75%K -9.96%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-15 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-03-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-03-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-03-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.58%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-03-15 18:55
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-03-15 18:50
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-03-15 18:55