L’École des cotes

Fluminense v Vitoria

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 21:00 UTC

Score final : Fluminense 2–2 Vitoria

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fluminense (Local)

Prévision 61.81%1.62cote équitable
EV -3.58%
Avantage -2.30%
Kelly -6.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.33%61.95%61.69%65.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.481.501.5672.46%67.40%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vitoria (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.31%6.53cote équitable
EV +14.82%
Avantage +1.98%
Kelly +2.28%
Croissance +0.338%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.34%15.12%15.35%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.106.406.257.5019.61%15.62%16.00%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.89%4.37cote équitable
EV +0.925%
Avantage +0.210%
Kelly +0.271%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.93%22.92%22.96%25.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.084.104.4129.41%24.52%24.39%22.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 65.20%EV -8.53%E -5.76%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +14.82%E +1.98%K +2.28%G +0.338%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%EV +0.696%E +0.158%K +0.205%G +0.001%3.6%2026-05-09 20:54
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.20%EV -8.53%E -5.76%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV +14.82%E +1.98%K +2.28%G +0.338%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.93%EV +0.696%E +0.158%K +0.205%G +0.001%3.6%2026-05-09 20:54
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.32%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +14.82%E +1.98%K +2.28%G +0.338%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.74%E -0.644%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 20:50
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 65.48%EV -11.62%E -8.12%K -27.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +14.82%E +1.98%K +2.28%G +0.338%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -2.74%E -0.644%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 20:54
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.48%EV -11.62%E -8.12%K -27.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +14.82%E +1.98%K +2.28%G +0.338%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -2.74%E -0.644%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 20:54
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.48%EV -11.62%E -8.12%K -27.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +14.82%E +1.98%K +2.28%G +0.338%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -2.74%E -0.644%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 20:55
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.48%EV -11.62%E -8.12%K -27.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +14.82%E +1.98%K +2.28%G +0.338%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -2.74%E -0.644%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 20:54
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 65.48%EV -11.62%E -8.12%K -27.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +14.82%E +1.98%K +2.28%G +0.338%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -2.74%E -0.644%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 20:54
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -11.62%E -8.12%K -27.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +14.82%E +1.98%K +2.28%G +0.338%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -3.88%E -0.924%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -12.24%E -8.62%K -29.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +14.82%E +1.98%K +2.28%G +0.338%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.88%E -0.924%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 20:54
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 65.63%EV -12.85%E -9.12%K -31.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +14.82%E +1.98%K +2.28%G +0.338%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -3.88%E -0.924%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 20:55
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.87%EV -13.47%E -9.62%K -33.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV +7.16%E +1.02%K +1.19%G +0.086%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -6.17%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 20:09
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 64.87%EV -13.47%E -9.62%K -33.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV +7.16%E +1.02%K +1.19%G +0.086%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -6.17%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 20:10
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.71%E -10.66%K -38.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +7.16%E +1.02%K +1.19%G +0.086%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.17%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 20:54
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.20%EV -14.71%E -10.66%K -38.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV +7.16%E +1.02%K +1.19%G +0.086%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -6.17%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 20:54
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.89%EV +4.87%E +0.711%K +0.832%G +0.041%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -3.88%E -0.924%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:39
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.89%EV +4.87%E +0.711%K +0.832%G +0.041%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -3.88%E -0.924%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -0.491%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.88%E -0.924%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:14
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.491%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.17%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 20:53
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.53%E -5.76%K -17.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -0.491%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.17%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 20:15
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -10.38%E -7.16%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -0.491%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -6.17%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 20:10
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -0.491%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 20:54
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -0.491%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -0.491%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 20:54
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -0.491%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 20:54
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.94%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.89%EV -0.644%E -0.099%K -0.117%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.17%EV -4.57%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 20:45
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.94%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 15.08%EV -1.56%E -0.243%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.98%EV +0.925%E +0.210%K +0.271%G +0.003%3.2%2026-05-09 20:54
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.62%EV -6.06%E -3.98%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.99%EV -2.79%E -0.439%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -2.74%E -0.644%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 20:19
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 61.96%EV -6.06%E -3.98%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -4.32%E -0.691%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -6.17%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 20:54
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 61.79%EV -6.06%E -3.98%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.32%E -0.691%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -7.31%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 20:49
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 61.79%EV -6.06%E -3.98%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.32%E -0.691%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -7.31%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 20:50
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -4.32%E -0.691%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.17%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 20:54
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.79%EV -6.67%E -4.42%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -5.85%E -0.951%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -7.31%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 20:29
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -3.88%E -0.924%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 20:35
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.44%E -3.55%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -1.59%E -0.370%K -0.483%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:24
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.88%E -0.924%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 20:34
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -3.88%E -0.924%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 20:30
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.17%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 20:29
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.17%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 20:34
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.55%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.46%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 20:54
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.06%E -3.98%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.46%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 20:29
PointsBet (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.06%E -3.98%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.46%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 20:30
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.86%EV -6.06%E -3.98%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -10.75%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 20:30
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.46%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 20:14
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 20:09
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 20:14
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -9.68%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.60%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 20:09
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -9.68%E -1.64%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.60%E -2.43%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 20:20
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.66%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.20%EV -10.29%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.13%EV -1.82%E -0.425%K -0.554%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -11.97%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -3.88%E -0.924%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 20:35
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.06%E -3.98%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -11.97%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.46%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 20:54
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -11.97%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.04%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-09 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.44%E -3.55%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -14.27%E -2.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.17%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 20:30
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.44%E -3.55%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -14.27%E -2.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -6.17%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 20:29
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.92%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -14.27%E -2.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.08%EV -11.20%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 20:32
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.33%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.53%EV -15.80%E -2.87%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -22.19%E -6.53%K -9.25%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-09 20:49
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%EV -17.33%E -3.21%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -6.17%E -1.50%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 20:30
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.40%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.41%EV -18.86%E -3.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -14.18%E -3.78%K -5.16%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-09 20:34
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.22%EV -9.76%E -6.69%K -21.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.24%EV -21.92%E -4.30%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -10.75%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 20:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.71%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-09 20:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.71%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-09 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.71%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-09 20:54
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.71%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-09 20:54
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.54%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.07%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.5%2026-05-09 20:50
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.72%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.71%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%1.9%2026-05-09 20:50