La escuela de los momios

Flamengo v Remo

Inicio: 2026-03-19 23:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Flamengo (Local)

Predicción 82.07%1.22momio equitativo
EV -3.98%
Ventaja -3.40%
Kelly -23.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.30%81.98%82.01%84.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.141.141.1794.34%88.04%87.72%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Remo (Visitante)

Predicción 5.70%17.54momio equitativo
EV +23.57%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.269%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 21.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
4.44%5.81%5.68%7.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
11.5016.1817.0021.678.70%6.18%5.88%4.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 12.23%8.18momio equitativo
EV +7.71%
Ventaja +0.875%
Kelly +0.987%
Crecimiento +0.076%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.00%12.21%12.31%13.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.567.508.8115.38%13.22%13.33%11.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 84.32%EV -6.44%E -5.65%K -45.99%G +0.000%21.67I 4.61%NM 4.44%EV +23.57%E +1.09%K +1.14%G +0.269%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.24%EV +4.53%E +0.530%K +0.600%G +0.027%4.0%2026-03-19 22:45
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.63%EV -5.62%E -4.88%K -37.45%G +0.000%20.20I 4.95%NM 4.70%EV +15.19%E +0.752%K +0.791%G +0.120%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 15:19
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.49%EV -7.26%E -6.42%K -55.84%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV +14.05%E +0.702%K +0.739%G +0.104%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -2.19%E -0.274%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 22:14
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 82.15%EV -6.44%E -5.65%K -45.99%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV +8.34%E +0.439%K +0.464%G +0.039%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -11.36%E -1.57%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 22:35
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.41%EV -8.08%E -7.21%K -67.33%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.92%EV +8.34%E +0.439%K +0.464%G +0.039%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -2.19%E -0.274%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 22:43
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 82.76%EV -8.08%E -7.21%K -67.33%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV +8.34%E +0.439%K +0.464%G +0.039%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 22:10
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.52%EV -6.44%E -5.65%K -45.99%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.15%EV +5.49%E +0.297%K +0.314%G +0.017%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.33%EV +2.70%E +0.321%K +0.365%G +0.010%5.0%2026-03-19 22:45
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.52%EV -6.44%E -5.65%K -45.99%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.15%EV +5.49%E +0.297%K +0.314%G +0.017%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.33%EV +2.70%E +0.321%K +0.365%G +0.010%5.0%2026-03-19 22:45
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 82.26%EV -6.44%E -5.65%K -45.99%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.07%EV +5.49%E +0.297%K +0.314%G +0.017%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -9.53%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 22:34
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.26%EV -6.44%E -5.65%K -45.99%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.07%EV +5.49%E +0.297%K +0.314%G +0.017%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.67%EV -9.53%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 22:34
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 82.56%EV -3.98%E -3.40%K -23.39%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.37%EV +2.64%E +0.147%K +0.155%G +0.004%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.07%EV -2.19%E -0.274%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-19 22:49
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.56%EV -3.98%E -3.40%K -23.39%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.37%EV +2.64%E +0.147%K +0.155%G +0.004%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.07%EV -2.19%E -0.274%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-19 22:49
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.67%EV -8.90%E -8.02%K -80.91%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV +2.64%E +0.147%K +0.155%G +0.004%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 22:09
1xBet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.55%EV -4.80%E -4.14%K -29.98%G +0.000%17.80I 5.62%NM 5.45%EV +1.50%E +0.084%K +0.089%G +0.001%8.81I 11.35%NM 11.00%EV +7.71%E +0.875%K +0.987%G +0.076%3.2%2026-03-19 22:50
DraftKings1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -6.44%E -5.65%K -45.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -2.19%E -0.274%K -0.313%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 22:38
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -5.62%E -4.88%K -37.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -5.62%E -4.88%K -37.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 22:20
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -5.62%E -4.88%K -37.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -5.62%E -4.88%K -37.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 22:20
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -5.62%E -4.88%K -37.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 22:19
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -5.62%E -4.88%K -37.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 22:20
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 82.36%EV -6.44%E -5.65%K -45.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.52%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -5.25%E -0.677%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 22:33
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.36%EV -6.44%E -5.65%K -45.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.52%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -5.25%E -0.677%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 22:34
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 82.36%EV -6.44%E -5.65%K -45.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.52%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -5.25%E -0.677%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 22:35
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.65%K -45.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 22:24
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.65%K -45.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:39
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.65%K -45.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 20:35
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.65%K -45.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:39
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -6.44%E -5.65%K -45.99%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:40
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -8.90%E -8.02%K -80.91%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.19%E -0.274%K -0.313%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 22:55
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 81.44%EV -7.26%E -6.42%K -55.84%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -14.42%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.44%EV -7.26%E -6.42%K -55.84%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV -3.06%E -0.180%K -0.191%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -14.42%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 22:44
Codere (IT)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.01%EV -5.62%E -4.88%K -37.45%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.89%EV -8.76%E -0.548%K -0.584%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.09%EV -4.64%E -0.595%K -0.682%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 22:29
Unibet (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.62%EV -5.62%E -4.88%K -37.45%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -8.76%E -0.548%K -0.584%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 22:20
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -7.26%E -6.42%K -55.84%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV -8.76%E -0.548%K -0.584%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -2.19%E -0.274%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 22:30
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 81.44%EV -8.90%E -8.02%K -80.91%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.65%EV -8.76%E -0.548%K -0.584%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -14.42%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-19 22:49
Virgin Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 81.57%EV -9.72%E -8.84%K -97.21%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -8.76%E -0.548%K -0.584%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -14.42%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-19 22:25
LiveScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 81.57%EV -9.72%E -8.84%K -97.21%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -8.76%E -0.548%K -0.584%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -14.42%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-19 22:24
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 82.12%EV -13.00%E -12.27%K -216.73%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.44%EV -8.76%E -0.548%K -0.584%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.44%EV -14.42%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-19 22:54
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 82.26%EV -3.98%E -3.40%K -23.39%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.42%EV -14.46%E -0.964%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.32%EV +3.92%E +0.461%K +0.523%G +0.020%3.9%2026-03-19 22:30
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.62%E -4.88%K -37.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -14.46%E -0.964%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 22:29
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.44%E -5.65%K -45.99%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -14.46%E -0.964%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 22:09
PointsBet (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.62%E -4.88%K -37.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -14.46%E -0.964%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.42%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 22:29
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -9.72%E -8.84%K -97.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV -14.46%E -0.964%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -8.31%E -1.11%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-19 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 80.34%EV -8.90%E -8.02%K -80.91%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.94%EV -14.46%E -0.964%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -20.53%E -3.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-19 22:14
GTbets1.15I 86.96%NM 81.92%EV -5.62%E -4.88%K -37.45%G +0.000%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -14.52%E -0.969%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.99I 12.52%NM 11.79%EV -2.31%E -0.290%K -0.331%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 22:14
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 81.98%EV -9.72%E -8.84%K -97.21%G +0.000%14.65I 6.83%NM 6.16%EV -16.46%E -1.12%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.87%EV -7.08%E -0.932%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-19 22:50
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 82.21%EV -4.80%E -4.14%K -29.98%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.58%EV -17.32%E -1.19%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV +3.92%E +0.461%K +0.523%G +0.020%4.9%2026-03-19 22:30
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -4.80%E -4.14%K -29.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -20.17%E -1.44%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -14.42%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 22:55
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 80.09%EV -4.80%E -4.14%K -29.98%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -20.17%E -1.44%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -14.42%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 22:29
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 80.31%EV -8.90%E -8.02%K -80.91%G +0.000%13.75I 7.27%NM 6.48%EV -21.59%E -1.57%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -17.47%E -2.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-19 22:33
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 79.92%EV -9.72%E -8.84%K -97.21%G +0.000%13.20I 7.58%NM 6.66%EV -24.73%E -1.87%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 13.42%EV -19.92%E -3.04%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-19 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -3.98%E -3.40%K -23.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -25.87%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +3.92%E +0.461%K +0.523%G +0.020%4.9%2026-03-19 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.12%EV -7.26%E -6.42%K -55.84%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -25.87%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.83%EV -5.25%E -0.677%K -0.778%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 22:30
Sky Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 80.53%EV -9.72%E -8.84%K -97.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.81%EV -25.87%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -14.42%E -2.06%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-19 19:14
Parions Sport (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 80.06%EV -10.54%E -9.67%K -117.13%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.71%EV -25.87%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.22%EV -19.31%E -2.93%K -3.45%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-19 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.80%E -4.14%K -29.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -31.57%E -2.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -2.19%E -0.274%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 22:30
Neds1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.80%E -4.14%K -29.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -31.57%E -2.63%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -2.19%E -0.274%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 22:30
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -3.98%E -3.40%K -23.39%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.94%EV -33.00%E -2.81%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.28%EV -7.08%E -0.932%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 22:54
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 79.30%EV -8.90%E -8.02%K -80.91%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.65%EV -34.42%E -2.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.04%EV -17.47%E -2.59%K -3.04%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-19 22:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.24%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.16%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.61%0.3%2026-03-19 22:54
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.53%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.13%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.33%0.8%2026-03-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.53%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.13%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.33%0.8%2026-03-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.34%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.12%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%1.0%2026-03-19 22:54
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%22.99I 4.35%NM 4.30%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.51%1.2%2026-03-19 22:55
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.86%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.69%3.0%2026-03-19 22:39