La scuola delle quote

Flamengo v Cruzeiro

Inizio: 2026-03-12 00:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Flamengo (Casa)

Previsione 62.82%1.59quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -1.70%
Kelly -4.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.22%62.89%62.82%65.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.481.501.5575.76%67.61%66.89%64.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cruzeiro (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.38%6.95quota equa
EV +8.56%
Vantaggio +1.13%
Kelly +1.31%
Crescita +0.112%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.57%14.24%14.43%16.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.516.507.5518.18%15.36%15.38%13.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.80%4.39quota equa
EV -0.806%
Vantaggio -0.185%
Kelly -0.241%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.74%22.86%22.75%24.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.024.004.3528.57%24.85%25.00%22.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.70%EV -6.40%E -4.30%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.77%EV +8.56%E +1.13%K +1.31%G +0.112%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.53%EV -2.40%E -0.561%K -0.732%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 00:24
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -8.91%E -6.15%K -19.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +7.85%E +1.05%K +1.21%G +0.095%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:23
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -6.40%E -4.30%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV +4.25%E +0.586%K +0.680%G +0.029%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.95%EV -5.37%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 00:10
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -6.40%E -4.30%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV +4.25%E +0.586%K +0.680%G +0.029%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.95%EV -5.37%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 00:09
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -6.40%E -4.30%K -13.07%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV +4.25%E +0.586%K +0.680%G +0.029%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.95%EV -5.37%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 00:09
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -7.66%E -5.21%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV +0.656%E +0.094%K +0.109%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:24
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -7.66%E -5.21%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +0.656%E +0.094%K +0.109%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 00:18
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 63.75%EV -7.66%E -5.21%K -16.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV +0.656%E +0.094%K +0.109%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 00:18
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.91%E -6.15%K -19.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV +0.656%E +0.094%K +0.109%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 00:24
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -8.91%E -6.15%K -19.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV +0.656%E +0.094%K +0.109%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 00:04
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.85%EV -8.29%E -5.68%K -18.01%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.41%EV -0.063%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 00:24
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.28%EV -2.94%E -0.435%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 23:39
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.28%EV -2.94%E -0.435%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 23:39
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.33%EV -3.89%E -2.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.73I 14.86%NM 14.40%EV -3.23%E -0.479%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%EV -0.806%E -0.185%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 00:24
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.42%EV -5.96%E -0.911%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.37%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:24
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -1.26%E -0.291%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 00:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 00:24
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 00:14
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.96%EV -4.52%E -2.97%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 00:09
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.13%EV -6.40%E -4.30%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 00:09
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 23:54
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -5.15%E -3.41%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 00:09
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -5.15%E -3.41%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 00:09
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -5.15%E -3.41%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 00:09
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -5.15%E -3.41%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 00:09
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -5.15%E -3.41%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 00:09
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 00:04
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 00:10
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.25%EV -6.40%E -4.30%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 00:09
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 00:19
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 00:09
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 00:04
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 00:04
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 00:00
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -8.91%E -6.15%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-12 00:14
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.48%EV -9.54%E -6.63%K -21.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.35%E -3.51%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-12 00:04
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -12.06%E -8.61%K -30.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -6.53%E -1.01%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-12 00:24
Codere (IT)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.83%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV -7.97%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:14
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -7.97%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -7.97%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -6.51%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 00:19
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -7.97%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 00:20
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.95%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV -7.97%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 00:19
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -7.97%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-12 00:09
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 62.38%EV -8.91%E -6.15%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.13%EV -7.97%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -12.21%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-12 00:09
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.48%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.31I 15.85%NM 15.10%EV -9.27%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.41%EV -7.19%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 23:54
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.03%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -10.13%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -1.26%E -0.291%K -0.379%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 00:19
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -10.13%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 00:09
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -10.13%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 00:09
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 63.04%EV -10.17%E -7.11%K -23.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -10.13%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -8.79%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-12 00:24
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -8.91%E -6.15%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -10.13%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -12.21%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-12 00:14
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -8.91%E -6.15%K -19.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -10.13%E -1.62%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -12.21%E -3.17%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-12 00:14
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -9.54%E -6.63%K -21.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -13.72%E -2.29%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-12 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.41%EV -10.17%E -7.11%K -23.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.88%EV -13.72%E -2.29%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.71%EV -10.38%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-12 00:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.22%EV -12.06%E -8.61%K -30.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.29%EV -13.72%E -2.29%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -20.19%E -5.77%K -8.08%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-12 00:13
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.65%EV -12.06%E -8.61%K -30.14%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.87%EV -15.16%E -2.57%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-12 00:24
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 63.27%EV -17.08%E -12.94%K -53.38%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.16%EV -15.16%E -2.57%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.57%EV -15.63%E -4.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-12 00:24
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.53%EV -8.29%E -5.68%K -18.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -16.60%E -2.86%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-12 00:14
Parions Sport (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.15%EV -10.80%E -7.61%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.22%EV -16.60%E -2.86%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -11.07%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-12 00:15
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.65%EV -10.17%E -7.11%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -20.91%E -3.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -9.93%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-12 00:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.88%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-03-12 00:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.88%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-03-12 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.88%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-03-12 00:15
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.41%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-03-12 00:24
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.71%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35%1.7%2026-03-12 00:09
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.01%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.63%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.37%2.8%2026-03-12 00:04