La scuola delle quote

Cruzeiro v Chapecoense

Inizio: 2026-05-24 19:00 UTC

Finale: Cruzeiro 2–1 Chapecoense

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cruzeiro (Casa)

Previsione 73.49%1.36quota equa
EV -1.53%
Vantaggio -1.14%
Kelly -4.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.24%73.32%73.48%75.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.271.281.3481.97%78.62%78.13%74.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chapecoense (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.56%10.46quota equa
EV +5.16%
Vantaggio +0.469%
Kelly +0.516%
Crescita +0.027%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.64%9.65%9.50%11.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.509.699.7511.0013.33%10.32%10.26%9.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 16.95%5.90quota equa
EV +1.21%
Vantaggio +0.202%
Kelly +0.243%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.86%17.03%17.02%19.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.415.505.9722.22%18.47%18.18%16.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 74.10%EV -3.00%E -2.27%K -9.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.89%EV +5.16%E +0.469%K +0.516%G +0.027%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.01%EV -2.52%E -0.439%K -0.531%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-24 18:30
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.10%EV -3.00%E -2.27%K -9.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.89%EV +5.16%E +0.469%K +0.516%G +0.027%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.01%EV -2.52%E -0.439%K -0.531%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-24 18:30
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -6.67%E -5.25%K -24.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.16%E +0.469%K +0.516%G +0.027%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -2.52%E -0.439%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.84%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.93%G +0.000%10.74I 9.31%NM 8.99%EV +2.67%E +0.249%K +0.274%G +0.007%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.17%EV +1.21%E +0.202%K +0.243%G +0.003%3.6%2026-05-24 18:50
Coolbet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.70%EV -3.73%E -2.85%K -12.04%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 8.98%EV +1.33%E +0.126%K +0.139%G +0.002%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.31%EV -11.85%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:30
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.38%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.20%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -2.52%E -0.439%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.38%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.20%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -2.52%E -0.439%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 14:29
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.97%EV -6.67%E -5.25%K -24.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -6.76%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:20
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 73.97%EV -6.67%E -5.25%K -24.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -6.76%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.97%EV -6.67%E -5.25%K -24.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -6.76%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:20
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.97%EV -6.67%E -5.25%K -24.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -6.76%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.97%EV -6.67%E -5.25%K -24.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -6.76%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:20
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 73.97%EV -6.67%E -5.25%K -24.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -6.76%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 18:19
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 74.12%EV -7.41%E -5.88%K -28.48%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.76%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 18:20
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -8.14%E -6.51%K -32.56%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -6.76%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:30
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 74.05%EV -8.14%E -6.51%K -32.56%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -8.46%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.05%EV -8.14%E -6.51%K -32.56%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.81%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -8.46%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -10.34%E -8.48%K -47.02%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV +0.376%E +0.036%K +0.040%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -1.68%E -0.289%K -0.349%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 18:10
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.08%EV -7.41%E -5.88%K -28.48%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.11%EV -2.01%E -0.196%K -0.218%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.82%EV -5.91%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 18:50
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -2.52%E -0.439%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:50
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -6.76%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:40
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.34%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -6.76%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 18:28
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 73.80%EV -9.61%E -7.81%K -41.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -10.15%E -1.92%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 18:20
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.80%EV -9.61%E -7.81%K -41.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -10.15%E -1.92%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 18:20
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.83%EV -10.34%E -8.48%K -47.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -11.00%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.83%EV -10.34%E -8.48%K -47.02%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -4.40%E -0.440%K -0.489%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -11.00%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 18:30
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.67%E -5.25%K -24.71%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -6.32%E -0.644%K -0.718%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -8.46%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 18:39
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.27%EV -6.67%E -5.25%K -24.71%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.50%EV -6.32%E -0.644%K -0.718%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -8.46%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 18:40
Bovada1.28I 78.13%NM 73.54%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.20%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.65%EV -6.79%E -0.697%K -0.776%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.07%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:49
BetUS1.28I 78.13%NM 73.54%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.20%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.65%EV -6.79%E -0.697%K -0.776%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.07%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:50
BetAnything1.28I 78.13%NM 73.54%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.20%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.65%EV -6.79%E -0.697%K -0.776%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.07%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:49
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.56%EV -1.53%E -1.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.68I 10.33%NM 10.04%EV -7.46%E -0.771%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.39%EV -5.24%E -0.937%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 16:10
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -9.18%E -0.967%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.76%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:00
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.18%E -0.967%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.76%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 11:39
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -9.18%E -0.967%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -11.00%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.54%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.20%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -9.18%E -0.967%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -11.00%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:30
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.18%EV -8.88%E -7.16%K -36.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -9.18%E -0.967%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -3.37%E -0.591%K -0.717%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 18:29
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -10.34%E -8.48%K -47.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -9.18%E -0.967%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -15.24%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-24 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -10.34%E -8.48%K -47.02%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV -9.18%E -0.967%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -23.71%E -5.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-24 18:50
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 73.35%EV -3.00%E -2.27%K -9.36%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 10.35%EV -10.62%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.30%EV +0.698%E +0.118%K +0.141%G +0.001%3.3%2026-05-24 18:50
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -6.67%E -5.25%K -24.71%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -11.57%E -1.25%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -2.52%E -0.439%K -0.531%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 17:59
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.20%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.01%EV -11.57%E -1.25%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -11.00%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 18:29
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.23%EV -12.05%E -1.31%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -5.07%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 18:00
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.96%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -2.52%E -0.439%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.76%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 12:20
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 71.99%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -11.00%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 14:30
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.24%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 12:59
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.24%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 18:50
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.24%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 18:50
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.24%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.24%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 18:50
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -13.96%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -15.24%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -16.35%E -1.87%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -8.46%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 12:09
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.89%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -16.35%E -1.87%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -8.46%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 12:10
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -10.34%E -8.48%K -47.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -18.74%E -2.21%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -15.24%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 18:29
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -8.88%E -7.16%K -36.98%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.79%EV -21.13%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -13.54%E -2.66%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-24 18:37
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.33%EV -7.41%E -5.88%K -28.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -23.52%E -2.94%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -5.07%E -0.905%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.26%EV -10.34%E -8.48%K -47.02%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.00%EV -24.48%E -3.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.74%EV -16.93%E -3.46%K -4.34%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-24 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.24%EV -8.88%E -7.16%K -36.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.78%EV -28.30%E -3.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.99%EV -11.85%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-24 18:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.46%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.46%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.46%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94%1.2%2026-05-24 18:50
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 75.06%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.56%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%1.7%2026-05-24 18:50
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 75.60%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%1.7%2026-05-24 18:50
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.83%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.70%1.9%2026-05-24 17:30