La escuela de los momios

Coritiba v Internacional

Inicio: 2026-05-09 19:00 UTC

Final: Coritiba 2–2 Internacional

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Coritiba (Local)

Predicción 34.56%2.89momio equitativo
EV +2.63%
Ventaja +0.885%
Kelly +1.33%
Crecimiento +0.035%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.55%34.49%34.54%35.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.682.702.9740.00%37.25%37.04%33.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Internacional (Visitante)

Predicción 35.21%2.84momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.503%
Kelly -0.782%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.37%35.26%35.20%36.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.652.652.8042.55%37.76%37.74%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.23%3.31momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.536%
Kelly -0.774%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.96%30.26%30.26%32.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.073.103.2538.02%32.62%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.97I 33.67%NM 32.66%EV +2.63%E +0.885%K +1.33%G +0.035%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.74%EV -7.04%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.60%EV -4.16%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 18:54
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -2.55%E -0.906%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.68%EV -5.98%E -2.24%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -5.67%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.78%EV -2.55%E -0.906%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.68%EV -5.98%E -2.24%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -5.67%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 34.37%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.25%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.37%EV -3.86%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 18:44
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 18:54
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.95%EV -3.25%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -6.69%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.18%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 17:44
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.41%E -0.503%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -1.74%E -0.536%K -0.774%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 18:29
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.36%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.41%E -0.503%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.92%EV -1.74%E -0.536%K -0.774%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 18:29
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.69%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 16:13
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.69%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 14:54
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -10.21%E -4.00%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 18:34
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 18:55
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 18:54
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 18:54
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 18:55
Bovada2.74I 36.50%NM 34.36%EV -5.32%E -1.94%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.26%EV -5.98%E -2.24%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 18:47
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -6.01%E -2.21%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.63%E -2.10%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.79%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 18:34
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -6.01%E -2.21%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.63%E -2.10%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.79%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 18:34
BetUS2.71I 36.90%NM 34.62%EV -6.36%E -2.35%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.62%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.79%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 18:54
BetAnything2.71I 36.90%NM 34.62%EV -6.36%E -2.35%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.62%EV -4.58%E -1.69%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.79%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 18:54
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -3.17%E -1.15%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 18:10
GTbets2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.66%EV -4.22%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 11:42
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:10
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:09
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:09
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:49
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.69%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 18:20
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.69%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 18:20
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -6.69%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:44
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 13:35
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.70%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -6.69%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 18:35
Marathon Bet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.84%EV -7.39%E -2.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.84%EV -5.63%E -2.10%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -6.88%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 18:24
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 18:30
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 18:29
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 18:29
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 18:29
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 18:29
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.77%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -4.77%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 18:29
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.69%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 18:29
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.69%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:34
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -8.43%E -3.18%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -6.69%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -7.79%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 18:29
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -9.12%E -3.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:29
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -9.12%E -3.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -11.97%E -4.79%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 18:54
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -9.47%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 18:14
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.47%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.75%E -2.96%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 18:29
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.35%EV -9.47%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -12.32%E -4.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -4.93%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 18:29
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -6.69%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.79%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.21%E -4.00%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.28%E -2.02%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 18:19
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.96%EV -12.68%E -5.11%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 18:32
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.55%EV -10.16%E -3.91%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.27%EV -15.49%E -6.45%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.18%EV -20.49%E -7.79%K -12.57%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-09 18:10
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -11.88%E -4.66%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -7.39%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -7.79%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 18:29
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -11.88%E -4.66%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -7.39%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -7.79%E -2.55%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 18:29
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -11.88%E -4.66%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 18:29
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -11.88%E -4.66%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -8.45%E -3.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 18:30
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.07%EV -11.88%E -4.66%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -17.25%E -7.34%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-09 18:34
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -13.61%E -5.44%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -13.73%E -5.60%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -9.30%E -3.10%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-09 18:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.5%2026-05-09 18:55
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.63%0.5%2026-05-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-09 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-05-09 18:55
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.91%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-05-09 18:55
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-05-09 18:04