La scuola delle quote

Coritiba v Fluminense

Inizio: 2026-04-04 23:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Coritiba (Casa)

Previsione 30.38%3.29quota equa
EV +3.88%
Vantaggio +1.14%
Kelly +1.60%
Crescita +0.062%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.36%30.39%30.34%31.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.103.103.4235.09%32.24%32.26%29.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fluminense (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.85%2.64quota equa
EV -2.35%
Vantaggio -0.912%
Kelly -1.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.68%37.83%37.89%39.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.282.442.452.5843.86%41.04%40.82%38.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.78%3.15quota equa
EV -1.49%
Vantaggio -0.481%
Kelly -0.710%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.16%31.78%31.77%32.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.932.953.1038.46%34.14%33.90%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.42I 29.24%NM 28.36%EV +3.88%E +1.14%K +1.60%G +0.062%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.74%EV -7.65%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.90%EV -3.40%E -1.12%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 23:24
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV +3.28%E +0.964%K +1.37%G +0.045%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%EV -6.14%E -2.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98%EV -3.08%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-04 23:24
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV +3.28%E +0.964%K +1.37%G +0.045%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.33%EV -6.14%E -2.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98%EV -3.08%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-04 23:24
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV +0.238%E +0.072%K +0.104%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 21:54
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV +0.238%E +0.072%K +0.104%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:24
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV +0.238%E +0.072%K +0.104%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:24
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV +0.238%E +0.072%K +0.104%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:24
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV +0.238%E +0.072%K +0.104%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:24
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV +0.238%E +0.072%K +0.104%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:24
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV +0.238%E +0.072%K +0.104%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:24
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -1.28%E -0.394%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -2.80%E -0.875%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -11.06%E -4.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 23:24
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -2.80%E -0.875%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.41%EV -11.81%E -5.07%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.48%E -2.95%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 23:24
Pinnacle3.19I 31.35%NM 30.34%EV -3.10%E -0.973%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.51%EV -2.35%E -0.912%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 23:25
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 23:00
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 23:00
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 23:00
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -12.19%E -5.26%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 23:24
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -12.19%E -5.26%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 23:24
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -13.71%E -6.01%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 23:23
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -13.71%E -6.01%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 23:23
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.05%EV -5.23%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.96%EV -6.52%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.00%EV -6.89%E -2.35%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 23:20
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 22:34
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.17%EV -6.52%E -2.64%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 22:35
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 22:34
GTbets3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -8.41%E -3.47%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.75%EV -2.76%E -0.903%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 22:35
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 22:34
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 22:49
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 23:19
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.35%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.53%EV -8.80%E -3.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 23:14
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 22:39
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.76%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.23%EV -4.62%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.02%EV -6.89%E -2.35%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 23:14
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.26%E -2.12%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 23:13
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.49%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 22:35
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 22:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 22:34
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 22:35
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 22:39
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 23:14
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 22:29
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 22:35
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.85%E -2.71%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 23:14
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.02%E -3.94%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 22:49
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -9.48%E -3.18%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -4.62%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -7.21%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 23:14
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.22%EV -9.48%E -3.18%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.92%EV -4.62%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.86%EV -7.21%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 23:14
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -1.49%E -0.481%K -0.710%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 23:20
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -3.08%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 23:20
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 22:35
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -11.06%E -4.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -4.67%E -1.56%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 22:35
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.54%EV -12.19%E -5.26%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -8.80%E -3.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 23:09
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -12.95%E -5.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.20%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 23:04
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.61%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -12.95%E -5.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -17.38%E -6.68%K -10.86%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.26%EV -12.95%E -5.63%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -9.44%E -3.31%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-04 22:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%0.7%2026-04-04 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%0.7%2026-04-04 22:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%0.7%2026-04-04 22:50
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%0.7%2026-04-04 23:20
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.64%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72%1.0%2026-04-04 23:14
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.17%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.69%2.0%2026-04-04 22:45