默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Coritiba v Atletico Paranaense

开赛时间: 2026-09-13 20:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Coritiba (主队)

预测 34.67%2.88公平赔率
EV -2.91%
优势 -1.04%
Kelly -1.62%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布
34.04%34.65%34.65%35.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.642.702.8040.82%37.87%37.04%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atletico Paranaense (客队)

预测 34.79%2.87公平赔率
EV -2.59%
优势 -0.925%
Kelly -1.44%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布
34.04%34.74%34.70%35.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.642.702.8040.82%37.91%37.04%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.54%3.27公平赔率
EV -2.28%
优势 -0.713%
Kelly -1.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.67%30.61%30.65%31.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.982.973.2035.71%33.54%33.67%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Coritiba (主队):34.67%;Atletico Paranaense (客队):34.79%;平局:30.54%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.27。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.20,期望值为-2.28%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.30%EV -2.91%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.30%EV -2.59%E -0.925%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -6.56%E -2.14%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 16:49
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.65%E -1.69%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.64%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%EV -5.33%E -1.72%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 16:15
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -4.65%E -1.69%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -3.81%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 03:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -5.69%E -2.09%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -5.37%E -1.98%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -9.30%E -3.13%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.28%E -0.713%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:00
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.28%E -0.713%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 16:59
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.05%E -4.18%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 15:54
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.05%E -4.18%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.05%E -4.18%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.38%E -2.36%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -12.05%E -4.18%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 15:55
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.12%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.81%E -2.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.39%E -2.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 16:15
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.12%E -3.06%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.81%E -2.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.39%E -2.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 16:14
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -9.16%E -3.49%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.85%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -5.33%E -1.72%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 06:45
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -9.85%E -3.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -8.39%E -2.80%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -13.32%E -5.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -9.92%E -3.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-31 15:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -13.32%E -5.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -11.44%E -3.95%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-31 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -13.32%E -5.33%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -14.50%E -5.18%K -8.05%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-31 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 34.65%EV -14.01%E -5.65%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 34.65%EV -13.72%E -5.53%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.69%EV -14.50%E -5.18%K -8.05%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-31 15:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.15%EV -15.05%E -6.14%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.15%EV -14.77%E -6.03%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.70%EV -11.44%E -3.95%K -6.02%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-31 15:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 34.51%2.22I 45.05%NM 33.11%2.27I 44.05%NM 32.38%36.0%2026-09-01 08:15