La escuela de los momios

Corinthians v Coritiba

Inicio: 2026-03-12 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Corinthians (Local)

Predicción 57.06%1.75momio equitativo
EV -4.14%
Ventaja -2.46%
Kelly -6.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.57%57.34%56.97%61.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.611.621.6869.44%62.03%61.73%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Coritiba (Visitante)

Predicción 17.15%5.83momio equitativo
EV +11.50%
Ventaja +1.77%
Kelly +2.09%
Crecimiento +0.240%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.37%16.95%17.22%18.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.545.506.5020.83%18.03%18.18%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.78%3.88momio equitativo
EV +0.818%
Ventaja +0.209%
Kelly +0.281%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.58%25.71%25.81%27.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.603.603.9132.26%27.76%27.78%25.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -12.70%E -8.30%K -23.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +11.50%E +1.77%K +2.09%G +0.240%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -2.02%E -0.531%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 23:44
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.19%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.08%EV +9.78%E +1.53%K +1.81%G +0.177%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.73%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 00:24
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.19%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.08%EV +9.78%E +1.53%K +1.81%G +0.177%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.73%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 00:24
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.16%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV +7.21%E +1.15%K +1.37%G +0.099%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.80%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +4.64%E +0.760%K +0.909%G +0.042%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 00:19
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.80%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +4.64%E +0.760%K +0.909%G +0.042%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 00:19
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.80%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +4.64%E +0.760%K +0.909%G +0.042%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 00:19
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.80%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +4.64%E +0.760%K +0.909%G +0.042%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 00:19
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.80%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +4.64%E +0.760%K +0.909%G +0.042%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 00:19
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.80%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +4.64%E +0.760%K +0.909%G +0.042%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 00:24
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV +2.92%E +0.487%K +0.584%G +0.017%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.98%E -7.04%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV +2.92%E +0.487%K +0.584%G +0.017%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 00:19
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -10.98%E -7.04%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV +2.92%E +0.487%K +0.584%G +0.017%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-12 00:19
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 59.16%EV -12.12%E -7.87%K -22.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV +2.92%E +0.487%K +0.584%G +0.017%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 00:19
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.44%EV -9.27%E -5.83%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV +1.20%E +0.204%K +0.246%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 23:59
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.75%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.60%EV -0.339%E -0.058%K -0.071%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.65%EV -3.05%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 00:24
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -10.41%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -0.511%E -0.088%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-11 23:45
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -12.70%E -8.30%K -23.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -0.511%E -0.088%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-12 00:19
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -12.70%E -8.30%K -23.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -0.511%E -0.088%K -0.106%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-12 00:19
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.10%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 17.08%EV -2.57%E -0.452%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.82%EV +0.818%E +0.209%K +0.281%G +0.002%3.1%2026-03-12 00:24
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.63%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -5.66%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 00:14
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.63%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -5.66%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 00:14
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 56.63%EV -4.14%E -2.46%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -5.66%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 00:14
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.85%E -3.54%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -5.66%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 00:04
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.78%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -5.66%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 00:14
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -5.66%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 00:09
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -6.42%E -3.91%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.66%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 00:13
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -6.42%E -3.91%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.66%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 00:14
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.85%E -3.54%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.66%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 00:09
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.85%E -3.54%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.66%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 00:04
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.25%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.66%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -6.66%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 00:13
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -5.66%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 00:24
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -5.66%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 00:24
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -5.66%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 00:09
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -5.66%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 00:04
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -10.41%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -5.66%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-11 23:44
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -5.85%E -3.54%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -7.37%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 00:04
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.49%EV -5.85%E -3.54%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -7.37%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 00:09
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.49%EV -5.85%E -3.54%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -7.37%E -1.37%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 00:09
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 56.78%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.75%EV -8.92%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -9.95%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 00:09
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -9.95%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 00:04
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -9.95%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -3.31%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 00:04
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -9.95%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 00:04
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -9.95%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 00:09
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.79%EV -10.41%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -9.95%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-11 23:59
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -5.85%E -3.54%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -10.80%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -5.85%E -3.54%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -10.80%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 00:04
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 57.13%EV -10.41%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.25%EV -10.80%E -2.08%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-12 00:24
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -10.41%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -12.52%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-12 00:08
Parions Sport (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -10.98%E -7.04%K -19.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -12.52%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-12 00:04
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.72%EV -17.83%E -12.38%K -40.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.30%EV -12.52%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.98%EV -17.49%E -5.47%K -7.95%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-12 00:00
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -12.70%E -8.30%K -23.95%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 17.35%EV -13.38%E -2.65%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-12 00:24
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-12 00:04
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-12 00:04
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 00:04
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 00:04
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.57%EV -12.70%E -8.30%K -23.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.00%EV -14.23%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.43%EV -20.07%E -6.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%17.6%2026-03-12 00:13
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.47%EV -10.98%E -7.04%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -17.66%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-12 00:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-03-12 00:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-03-12 00:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-03-12 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-03-12 00:15
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.66%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-03-12 00:14
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 58.65%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%4.0%2026-03-12 00:04