La escuela de los momios

Corinthians v Atletico Mineiro

Inicio: 2026-05-24 21:30 UTC

Final: Corinthians 1–0 Atletico Mineiro

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Corinthians (Local)

Predicción 51.21%1.95momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -3.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.27%51.31%51.23%53.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.811.811.8958.48%55.37%55.25%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atletico Mineiro (Visitante)

Predicción 19.90%5.02momio equitativo
EV +4.49%
Ventaja +0.856%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.048%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.32%19.86%19.88%21.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.754.755.2524.39%21.05%21.05%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.89%3.46momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.523%
Kelly -0.741%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.84%28.82%28.89%30.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.213.253.4035.71%31.12%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.50%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.50%EV +4.49%E +0.856%K +1.06%G +0.048%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.99%EV -3.22%E -0.962%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 21:20
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.50%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.50%EV +4.49%E +0.856%K +1.06%G +0.048%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.99%EV -3.22%E -0.962%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 21:20
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.21%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.43%EV +4.29%E +0.820%K +1.01%G +0.043%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.36%EV -4.96%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 21:20
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -8.34%E -4.66%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV +1.51%E +0.296%K +0.368%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 21:20
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -8.34%E -4.66%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV +1.51%E +0.296%K +0.368%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 21:20
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -8.34%E -4.66%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV +1.51%E +0.296%K +0.368%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 21:19
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -8.34%E -4.66%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV +1.51%E +0.296%K +0.368%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 21:20
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -8.34%E -4.66%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV +1.51%E +0.296%K +0.368%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 21:20
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -8.34%E -4.66%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV +1.51%E +0.296%K +0.368%G +0.006%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 21:20
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.21%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV +1.51%E +0.296%K +0.368%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 21:19
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.49%EV -8.85%E -4.97%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV +1.51%E +0.296%K +0.368%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 21:19
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 51.97%EV -7.31%E -4.04%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.63%EV +0.513%E +0.102%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 21:18
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.97%EV -7.31%E -4.04%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.63%EV +0.513%E +0.102%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 21:19
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -0.482%E -0.096%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 21:19
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.78%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.482%E -0.096%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.58%EV -9.87%E -5.61%K -12.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -0.482%E -0.096%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 21:20
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.48%EV -10.39%E -5.93%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -0.482%E -0.096%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -11.92%E -6.93%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -2.47%E -0.505%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 20:40
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.57%EV -11.41%E -6.60%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -2.47%E -0.505%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 21:20
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 52.57%EV -11.41%E -6.60%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -2.47%E -0.505%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 21:20
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.62%EV -12.43%E -7.27%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -2.47%E -0.505%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 21:20
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.62%EV -12.43%E -7.27%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -2.47%E -0.505%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 21:20
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.87%EV -3.87%E -0.800%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.35%EV -5.53%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 21:09
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -4.75%E -2.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.74%EV -4.07%E -0.843%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.10%EV -5.53%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 20:00
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -4.75%E -2.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.74%EV -4.07%E -0.843%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.10%EV -5.53%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 20:00
BetAnything1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -4.75%E -2.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.74%EV -4.07%E -0.843%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.10%EV -5.53%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 20:20
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.89%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.46%E -0.930%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 20:00
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.66%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.46%E -0.930%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 21:10
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 51.48%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.79%EV -5.26%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.72%EV -5.25%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 19:39
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.55%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 16:00
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 20:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 21:10
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.73%EV -10.39%E -5.93%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -5.46%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 21:19
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -6.45%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 21:10
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -5.78%E -3.14%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -6.45%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.37%EV -8.13%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 21:10
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -6.45%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 21:10
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -6.45%E -1.37%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 21:10
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.38%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -1.78%E -0.523%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:50
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.38%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.96%EV -1.78%E -0.523%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 19:49
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.86%EV -5.78%E -3.14%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 21:10
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 21:10
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 21:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 21:10
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 21:20
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -10.39%E -5.93%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -8.44%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 19:49
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 19:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 19:50
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -10.43%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 19:50
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.06%EV -10.39%E -5.93%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.42%E -2.82%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.64%EV -9.87%E -3.16%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 21:10
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.01%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -14.41%E -3.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.98%EV -8.85%E -4.97%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -14.41%E -3.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 21:10
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -15.41%E -3.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.10%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -15.41%E -3.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 50.94%EV -12.43%E -7.27%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.50%EV -15.41%E -3.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-24 21:09
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -16.41%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 20:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.27%EV -11.41%E -6.60%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.29%EV -16.41%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.44%EV -19.11%E -6.83%K -10.62%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-24 21:10
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.36%EV -10.90%E -6.26%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -18.40%E -4.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -10.45%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-24 21:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.11%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-24 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.11%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-24 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.11%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-24 21:20
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.28%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65%0.7%2026-05-24 21:20
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.43%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.84%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-05-24 21:20
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 52.11%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-05-24 21:20