A Escola das Odds

Bragantino-SP v Sao Paulo

Início: 2026-03-15 23:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Bragantino-SP (Local)

Previsão 39.20%2.55odd justa
EV -0.424%
Vantagem -0.167%
Kelly -0.275%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.92%39.11%39.28%40.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.372.402.5446.51%42.22%41.67%39.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sao Paulo (Visitante)

Previsão 30.40%3.29odd justa
EV -1.20%
Vantagem -0.369%
Kelly -0.533%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.41%30.44%30.41%31.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.033.023.2535.71%32.95%33.06%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.40%3.29odd justa
EV -1.21%
Vantagem -0.373%
Kelly -0.539%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.27%30.45%30.31%31.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.053.103.2537.04%32.78%32.26%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -0.424%E -0.167%K -0.275%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.20%EV -5.45%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.61%EV -3.64%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 23:25
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.21%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -1.21%E -0.373%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 22:55
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.21%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -1.21%E -0.373%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 22:55
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.33%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -1.20%E -0.369%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%EV -4.86%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 23:20
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.13%EV -3.93%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.52%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 06:35
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -2.72%E -0.849%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.91%EV -6.38%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 23:15
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -2.72%E -0.849%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.91%EV -6.38%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 23:20
BetAnything2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -2.72%E -0.849%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.91%EV -6.38%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 23:20
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.85%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 22:20
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.42%E -3.16%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 23:20
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -5.13%E -2.12%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -9.42%E -3.16%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 23:20
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -2.72%E -0.849%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 20:35
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.32%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.24%EV -5.16%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 23:25
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 21:20
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.72%E -0.849%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.81%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 22:20
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.25%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 10:45
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.25%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 22:55
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.25%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 10:45
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.25%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 10:45
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.25%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 10:44
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.25%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 10:45
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -4.25%E -1.35%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 10:55
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.81%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 23:25
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 21:29
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.81%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 23:05
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.81%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 22:25
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.85%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 23:25
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.85%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 23:24
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.85%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 23:25
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.85%E -4.09%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 23:25
Bovada2.39I 41.84%NM 39.33%EV -6.30%E -2.64%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.24%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -7.29%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 23:05
GTbets2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -6.70%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.55%EV -6.06%E -1.96%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.78%EV -3.64%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 14:10
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.70%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.84%EV -6.70%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.09%E -2.99%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 20:00
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.09%E -2.99%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 20:00
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.72%E -0.849%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 23:25
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 20:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 22:50
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -4.24%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.29%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 22:40
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -6.38%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 22:44
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 23:05
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 22:50
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 22:55
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 38.95%EV -8.66%E -3.72%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -7.29%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 22:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.81%E -2.94%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 17:39
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.77%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 22:20
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -12.45%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -7.29%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 23:00
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -12.45%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -7.29%E -2.39%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 23:00
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -10.33%E -3.50%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 22:15
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.46%E -4.33%K -6.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 23:25
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.46%E -4.33%K -6.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 23:25
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 39.34%EV -11.01%E -4.85%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.59%EV -11.23%E -3.85%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.07%EV -9.72%E -3.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 23:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -10.33%E -3.50%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 23:05
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -14.88%E -5.31%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -10.33%E -3.50%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.92%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -14.88%E -5.31%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -17.93%E -6.64%K -10.55%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-15 21:10
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.93%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -10.33%E -3.50%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 23:20
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.00%EV -15.71%E -7.31%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.95%EV -14.88%E -5.31%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.05%EV -17.93%E -6.64%K -10.55%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-15 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-03-15 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-15 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-15 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-03-15 23:25
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-03-15 23:25
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.25%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-03-15 22:40