La escuela de los momios

Bragantino-SP v Internacional

Inicio: 2026-05-31 14:00 UTC

Final: Bragantino-SP 3–1 Internacional

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bragantino-SP (Local)

Predicción 47.15%2.12momio equitativo
EV -0.047%
Ventaja -0.022%
Kelly -0.042%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.68%47.20%47.07%48.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.992.002.1254.64%50.35%50.00%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Internacional (Visitante)

Predicción 25.79%3.88momio equitativo
EV +1.62%
Ventaja +0.410%
Kelly +0.550%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.29%25.73%25.89%27.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.603.603.9430.30%27.76%27.78%25.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.06%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -0.716%
Kelly -0.991%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.15%27.07%27.04%29.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.393.403.6034.72%29.51%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.96%EV -4.76%E -2.36%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.59%EV +1.62%E +0.410%K +0.550%G +0.009%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.45%EV -4.47%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-31 13:50
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.91%EV -4.76%E -2.36%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.20%EV -0.963%E -0.251%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -2.58%E -0.716%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-31 13:40
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.06%E -4.13%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.99%E -0.525%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:50
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.06%E -4.13%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -1.99%E -0.525%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:50
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -9.01%E -4.67%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -1.99%E -0.525%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.91%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 13:50
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -10.42%E -5.48%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -1.99%E -0.525%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 13:50
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%EV -0.047%E -0.022%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -3.28%E -0.876%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-31 13:40
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%EV -0.047%E -0.022%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -3.28%E -0.876%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-31 13:40
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.90%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%EV -3.28%E -0.876%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -5.28%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 13:50
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -3.28%E -0.876%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.98%EV -4.47%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 13:40
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -3.28%E -0.876%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.98%EV -4.47%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 13:40
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.62%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -3.28%E -0.876%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.98%EV -4.47%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 13:40
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.53%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.57%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -3.93%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:49
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.57%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 13:49
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.48%E -4.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.57%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 13:50
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.48%E -4.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.57%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 13:50
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 47.06%EV -5.23%E -2.60%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.86%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -5.28%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 13:50
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.86%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.28%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 13:40
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -5.86%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 13:39
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.06%E -4.13%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -5.86%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 13:50
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.28%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.28%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 13:40
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.28%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 13:40
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 13:40
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 13:40
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 13:40
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 13:40
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 13:40
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 13:40
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.96%EV -3.82%E -1.87%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 13:40
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 13:40
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 13:30
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.06%E -4.13%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 13:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.06%E -4.13%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 13:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.06%E -4.13%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 13:50
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.06%E -4.13%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 13:50
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -10.42%E -5.48%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 13:50
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 44.68%EV -0.519%E -0.246%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.48%EV -8.18%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.83%EV -11.51%E -3.52%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -4.76%E -2.36%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.44%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 13:40
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.44%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.05%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 13:40
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.58%E -0.716%K -0.991%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 13:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 13:30
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -7.12%E -3.61%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -12.05%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-31 13:40
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -7.12%E -3.61%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -12.05%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-31 13:40
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.95%E -5.21%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 13:40
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -12.78%E -6.91%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -13.40%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-31 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -9.95%E -5.21%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.86%EV -10.25%E -2.94%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.02%EV -9.88%E -2.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-31 13:50
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -11.02%E -3.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 13:30
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.07%EV -8.53%E -4.40%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -11.02%E -3.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-31 13:50
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -7.59%E -3.87%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -11.02%E -3.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -13.40%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 13:40
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -7.59%E -3.87%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -11.02%E -3.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -13.40%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 13:40
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.35%E -1.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -12.31%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 13:29
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.71%E -2.85%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.31%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-31 13:29
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.06%E -4.13%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.31%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -5.28%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 13:39
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -11.36%E -6.04%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.31%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-31 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.01%EV -13.72%E -7.50%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.76%EV -12.31%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.23%EV -22.06%E -7.66%K -11.74%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -11.36%E -6.04%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -14.89%E -4.51%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75%0.9%2026-05-31 13:40
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-05-31 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-31 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-31 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-31 13:50
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-05-31 13:40